Game plan · Divisional
Sign up and the plan is fitted to you: where you stand on the leaderboard decides whether to protect a lead, play straight, or chase. Below is the same plan for everyone in each mode: which games to press, which to keep near 50, with The System's numbers on this week's featured game and on games that have kicked off.
The recommendation treats week-to-week differences between good players as roughly normal with a 25-point spread, and uses the replay's measured cost and swing of each mode. It's a guide, not a guarantee.
Chase. Stretch every number 15% further from 50. Costs almost nothing in expectation, under 0.1 a week; adds an eighth to the week's swing.
This plan expects 5.3 points this week, give or take 37 (one standard deviation), if The System's numbers are right. Playing straight would expect 5.4.
A typical week lands between -32 and 43. Roughly one week in ten goes worse than -42.
Sign up to apply this planEvery number, your recommended mode, and one button that sets your picks.
Play straight 4 games
Clear favorites with mild disagreement, and the rest. Nothing to exploit; the number is the number.
| Game | Play | System | Expects | Why |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TBD at TBD Sat 12:00 AM ET | TBD 59% | 58% | +1.3 | No market line yet. |
| TBD at TBD Sat 12:00 AM ET | TBD 00% | 00% | +0.0 | No market line yet. |
| TBD at TBD Sun 12:00 AM ET | TBD 00% | 00% | +0.0 | No market line yet. |
| TBD at TBD Sun 12:00 AM ET | TBD 00% | 00% | +0.0 | No market line yet. |
Expected points assume The System's probability is the truth; the Nudges page tracks whether it is. The plan is the same for everyone in a mode; what changes with your standing is which mode makes sense.