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The gap between the models is where the points are.
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Scores and schedule from ESPN. Rest, lines and box scores from nflverse. Ratings seeded from FiveThirtyEight's final Elo and their history to 1920. Markets from The Odds API, Kalshi and Polymarket. Scoring follows FiveThirtyEight's forecasting game.
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Week 1 recap

1
Closing spread +64.8 · The blend +63.3 · The System +63.3 · Elo (the model) +33.3
Biggest upset: ARI won at 25% (ARI 26, LAC 14).

Week standings

#PlayerGamesPoints
1Closing spread16+64.8
2The blend16+63.3
3The System16+63.3
4Elo (the model)16+33.3

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