Quarterbacks

Each QB carries a rolling value from his box scores (538's formula); each team carries one too. A team's pre-game adjustment is 3.3 × (starter − team) in Elo points, so a backup starting costs points and a clear upgrade adds them. Set an override when a starter is announced out.

Expected starters

Team	Starter	QB value	Team value	Adj.
Buffalo Bills	Josh Allen	82	85	-9
San Francisco 49ers	Brock Purdy	70	70	-1
Cincinnati Bengals	Joe Burrow	67	62	+17
Jacksonville Jaguars	Trevor Lawrence	67	66	+3
Los Angeles Rams	Matthew Stafford	65	65	0
Detroit Lions	Jared Goff	65	65	+0
New England Patriots	Drake Maye	64	63	+1
Chicago Bears	Caleb Williams	62	62	0
Dallas Cowboys	Dak Prescott	62	56	+17
Philadelphia Eagles	Jalen Hurts	59	53	+17
Miami Dolphins	Malik Willis	58	31	+90
Baltimore Ravens	Lamar Jackson	56	52	+13
Denver Broncos	Bo Nix	54	54	-1
New York Giants	Jaxson Dart	54	55	-4
Kansas City Chiefs	Patrick Mahomes	54	40	+46
Washington Commanders	Jayden Daniels	53	48	+15
Green Bay Packers	Jordan Love	52	52	+0
Tampa Bay Buccaneers	Baker Mayfield	51	51	+0
Houston Texans	C.J. Stroud	51	50	+1
Carolina Panthers	Bryce Young	49	47	+6
Los Angeles Chargers	Justin Herbert	47	41	+18
Pittsburgh Steelers	Aaron Rodgers	45	46	-2
New Orleans Saints	Tyler Shough	45	50	-16
Indianapolis Colts	Daniel Jones	44	46	-6
Arizona Cardinals	Jacoby Brissett	42	54	-40
Las Vegas Raiders	Kirk Cousins	40	18	+70
Seattle Seahawks	Drew Lock	36	45	-30
Minnesota Vikings	Carson Wentz	33	20	+43
Tennessee Titans	Cam Ward	31	25	+19
New York Jets	Geno Smith	28	21	+22
Cleveland Browns	Deshaun Watson	25	15	+34
Atlanta Falcons	Cooper Rush	24	32	-26
TBD	—	—	0	+0

Overrides are set by admins (ADMIN_EMAILS). Ids are nflverse/GSIS ids.

QB ratings

#	Quarterback	Value	Games
1	Josh Allen	82	51
2	Brock Purdy	70	41
3	Joe Burrow	67	35
4	Trevor Lawrence	67	43
5	Matthew Stafford	65	49
6	Jared Goff	65	53
7	Drake Maye	64	28
8	Caleb Williams	62	35
9	Dak Prescott	62	41
10	Jalen Hurts	59	47
11	Derek Carr	59	26
12	Malik Willis	58	5
13	Lamar Jackson	56	47
14	Kyler Murray	56	30
15	Bo Nix	54	35
16	Jaxson Dart	54	13
17	Patrick Mahomes	54	47
18	Mac Jones	53	27
19	Jayden Daniels	53	23
20	Jordan Love	52	47
21	Baker Mayfield	51	52
22	Marcus Mariota	51	11
23	C.J. Stroud