Forecast at kickoff Sunday 5 PM. In heat above 75°F favorites underperform slightly; The System shrinks a tenth. Read more →
The Wire
Short items written from the data as it changes: where the money is moving, weather that will matter, which teams' Elo ratings rose or fell, whose playoff odds shifted, which picks are locked in, and how the week scored. Nobody types these; the numbers do. RSS · JSON
Friday, Sep 18
Forecast at kickoff Sunday 5 PM. In heat above 75°F favorites underperform slightly; The System shrinks a tenth. Read more →
Importance 64 of 100, the biggest swing in the league's playoff picture on the schedule. Elo has HOU at 62%. Read more →
Our two picks for the week are set and will not change. The lock is the game Elo and the market agree on most (84% over 24 seasons); the bold call is where they disagree most. Signed-in players can see both. Read more →
Buffalo Bills rose to 1612; Detroit Lions fell to 1519. Read more →
Every forecaster scored as a player on its closing numbers. The System beat the market this week. Read more →