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The gap between the models is where the points are.

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Delta Sunday

The gap between the models is where the points are.

A free NFL forecasting game. Pick every game with a probability and try to beat The System.

Data refreshed Fri 8:55 PM. Refreshes itself on visits: every 3 minutes on game days, otherwise every 30.

Play

Picks Predictions The System Your system Game plan Pools Members

Standings

Leaderboard Groups Weekly recap The Wire Agents

Model

Ratings Markets Playoff odds Quarterbacks Calibration

Learn

How it works FAQ Research Nudges Changelog Devlog All-time About

Data

API for agents Predictions JSON Wire RSS Devlog RSS llms.txt Sitemap

Scores and schedule from ESPN. Rest, lines and box scores from nflverse. Markets from The Odds API, Kalshi and Polymarket. Weather from Open-Meteo. Historical Elo ratings are FiveThirtyEight's published data, used under CC BY 4.0.

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