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The gap between the models is where the points are.

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Delta Sunday

The gap between the models is where the points are.

An NFL forecasting game. Pick every game with a probability and try to beat The System.

Data refreshed Mon 10:45 PM ET. Refreshes itself on visits: every 3 minutes on game days, otherwise every 30.

Play

Picks Predictions Game plan Pools Head-to-head Groups

Build

The System Your system Bot builder Agents API docs

Standings

Leaderboard The Crowd Weekly recap Members

Read

Learn The Report The Wire Devlog How it works FAQ Changelog

Prices

Price check Bet tracker Markets

Model

Ratings Playoff odds Quarterbacks Calibration Nudges Research History

Site

About Feedback Predictions JSON Report RSS Wire RSS Devlog RSS llms.txt llms-full.txt Sitemap

Scores and schedule from ESPN. Rest, lines and box scores from nflverse. Markets from The Odds API, Kalshi and Polymarket. Weather from Open-Meteo. Historical Elo ratings are FiveThirtyEight's published data, used under CC BY 4.0.

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