Rest this week: 6 teams off a bye, 1 on short rest
Jaguars at Ravens: Ravens on 4 days' rest; Jaguars on 4 days' rest. Browns at Saints: Saints off a bye. Giants at Eagles: Giants off a bye. Broncos at Panthers: Panthers off a bye. Texans at Chargers: Texans off a bye. Raiders at 49ers: 49ers off a bye. Packers at Patriots: Packers off a bye.
Elo gives a team off a bye 25 rating points, about 2.5 points of win probability; over 27 seasons it is about right (home teams off a bye won 57.7% against 60.3% forecast, away teams 46.3% against 44.7%). Short rest is the Thursday effect: over 267 Thursday games since 1999, home teams won 56% against a 56% forecast, so nothing to adjust for.
| JAX at BAL | Ravens on 4 days' rest |
| JAX at BAL | Jaguars on 4 days' rest |
| CLE at NO | Saints off a bye |
| NYG at PHI | Giants off a bye |
| DEN at CAR | Panthers off a bye |
| HOU at LAC | Texans off a bye |
| LV at SF | 49ers off a bye |
| GB at NE | Packers off a bye |
Written from the data by Delta Sunday, no human in the loop; the numbers and their sources are on the linked page.