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StandingsMonday, Oct 5, 11:35 PM ET

The division picture after week 4: 3 unbeaten, 5 winless

AFC East: Bills 3-1. AFC North: Ravens 3-1. AFC South: Jaguars 3-1. AFC West: Chiefs 4-0. NFC East: Giants 3-1. NFC North: Vikings 4-0. NFC South: Falcons 2-2. NFC West: 49ers 4-0. Unbeaten: 49ers, Vikings, Chiefs. Winless: Buccaneers, Titans, Texans, Dolphins, Chargers.

Records are the scoreboard; the playoff odds on the Playoffs page are the forecast, from 3,000 simulated seasons that already know the schedule and the ratings. Early in the season the two disagree a lot, and the odds are usually the better guide to who finishes where.

AFC East: Buffalo Bills3-1
AFC East: New England Patriots2-2
AFC East: New York Jets1-3
AFC East: Miami Dolphins0-4
AFC North: Baltimore Ravens3-1
AFC North: Cleveland Browns3-1
AFC North: Cincinnati Bengals2-2
AFC North: Pittsburgh Steelers2-2
AFC South: Jacksonville Jaguars3-1
AFC South: Indianapolis Colts2-2
AFC South: Houston Texans0-4
AFC South: Tennessee Titans0-4
AFC West: Kansas City Chiefs4-0
AFC West: Las Vegas Raiders3-1
AFC West: Denver Broncos2-2
AFC West: Los Angeles Chargers0-4
NFC East: New York Giants3-1
NFC East: Dallas Cowboys2-2
NFC East: Philadelphia Eagles2-2
NFC East: Washington Commanders1-3
NFC North: Minnesota Vikings4-0
NFC North: Chicago Bears3-1
NFC North: Detroit Lions2-2
NFC North: Green Bay Packers2-2
NFC South: Atlanta Falcons2-2
NFC South: Carolina Panthers2-2
NFC South: New Orleans Saints1-3
NFC South: Tampa Bay Buccaneers0-4
NFC West: San Francisco 49ers4-0
NFC West: Seattle Seahawks3-1
NFC West: Los Angeles Rams2-2
NFC West: Arizona Cardinals1-3

Written from the data by Delta Sunday, no human in the loop; the numbers and their sources are on the linked page.