Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals
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Week 10, 2026 · Monday, Nov 16, 1:20 AM · outdoors
Pittsburgh Steelers1–0 · Elo 1526 · Aaron Rodgers · off a bye
Cincinnati Bengals
1–0 · Elo 1505 · Joe Burrow (+17) · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | CIN | PIT | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | CIN 53% | 53% | 47% | CIN 1505 vs PIT 1526, implied spread CIN −0.8 |
| Closing spread | CIN 60% | 60% | 40% | CIN -3.5 |
| The blend | CIN 58% | 58% | 42% |
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The spot: Everything else
Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.
Cincinnati Bengals over the Steelers: Elo 53%, market 60%. Nothing to exploit; the blend is fine. Burrow is worth 17 Elo; PIT off a bye.
Details
- Rest: CIN 7 days, PIT 14 days. PIT off a bye (+25 Elo).
- Quarterback adjustment: CIN +17 (Joe Burrow), PIT -2 (Aaron Rodgers). How that works.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Monday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.