Since Saturday: Jaguars at Ravens, 38 points toward JAX, now 21% for the home side (Elo 40%); Giants at Eagles, 6 points toward NYG, now 40% for the home side (Elo 47%); Lions at Dolphins, 6 points toward MIA, now 26% for the home side (Elo 41%); Rams at Commanders, 4 points toward LAR, now 30% for the home side (Elo 40%). Read more →
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Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Rams
Game data updated 30 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 13, 2026 · SoFi Stadium · Thursday, Dec 3, 8:15 PM ET · dome
Kansas City Chiefs5–2 · Elo 1539 · Patrick Mahomes (+46 Elo)
Los Angeles Rams
4–4 · Elo 1575 · Matthew Stafford · Home
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KCLAR
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What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | LAR | KC | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | LAR 55% | 55% | 45% | LAR 1575 vs KC 1539, implied spread LAR −1.5 |
| The blend | LAR 55% | 55% | 45% |
The System's number and our picks of the week are for signed-in players. Sign in to see them.
The spot: Everything else
Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.
No market line yet.
Details
- Rest: LAR 8 days, KC 7 days.
- Quarterbacks. LAR: Matthew Stafford (0 Elo). KC: Patrick Mahomes (+46 Elo). Expected starters from ESPN's depth chart with the injury report applied, refreshed every three hours.
- Weather. Indoors (dome), so no weather adjustment.
Injury report
ESPN's report, refreshed every three hours. Out and doubtful players are treated as unavailable; questionable players usually play. Only the quarterback feeds Elo directly; the rest is in the market's number.
| Team | Player | Pos | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KC | Mansoor Delane | CB | Out | Shoulder · out |
| KC | Omarr Norman-Lott | DT | Out | Knee - ACL · The Chiefs designated Norman-Lott (knee) to return from injured reserve Wednesday. |
| KC | Peter Woods | DT | Questionable | Neck · Woods (neck) has been ruled out for the rest of Sunday's contest against the Broncos. |
| LAR | Colby Parkinson | TE | Out | Ribs · out |
| LAR | Joe Cardona | LS | Out | Ankle · out |
| LAR | Dean Connors | RB | Questionable | Hand · Connors suffered a broken hand in Sunday's 24-9 win over the Rams. |
| LAR | Grant Stuard | LB | Questionable | Hamstring · Stuard is battling a hamstring injury, Nate Atkins of The Athletic reports. |
| LAR | Jaylen Watson | CB | Questionable | Shoulder · Watson (shoulder) has been ruled out for the rest of Sunday's contest against the Chargers, Adam Grosbard of The Orange County Register reports. |
| LAR | Matthew Stafford | QB | Questionable | Arm · Stafford left the locker room after Sunday's 24-9 win over the Charger with a bag of ice wrapped to his right arm, and Rams coach Sean McVay acknowledged Monday that the quarterback has been dealing with some arm soreness, Adam Grosbard of The Orange County Register reports. |
| LAR | Trent McDuffie | CB | Questionable | Back · McDuffie (back) is questionable to return to Sunday's contest against the Chargers, Stu Jackson of the Rams' official site reports. |
On the Wire
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.