Tennessee Titans at Detroit Lions
Game data updated 4 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 14, 2026 · Sunday, Dec 13, 6:00 PM · dome
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | DET | TEN | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | DET 74% | 74% | 26% | DET 1519 vs TEN 1364, implied spread DET −7.3 |
| Closing spread | DET 71% | 71% | 29% | DET -7.5 |
| The blend | DET 74% | 74% | 26% |
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The spot: Tight agreement
Elo and the market agree on the favorite within 4 points. Over 24 seasons (2,312 games) favorites here won 69.2% against a 67.7% forecast; in 2023–25 it ran hotter, 74% against 66%. Lean a little toward the favorite. The blend adds 2 points.
Detroit Lions over the Titans: Elo 74%, market 71%. Tight agreement: go above both. Ward is worth 19 Elo.
Details
- Rest: DET 7 days, TEN 7 days.
- Quarterback adjustment: DET 0 (Jared Goff), TEN +19 (Cam Ward). How that works.
- Weather. Indoors (dome), so no weather adjustment.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.