Importance 51 of 100, the biggest swing in the league's playoff picture on the schedule. Elo has CHI at 68%. Read more →
Chicago Bears
Current Elo 1604. Rating after every game since 2000; vertical marks are new starting quarterbacks. Hover for the game.
Playoff odds this season
Now: playoffs 72%, division 8%, title 5%. One point per day the simulation ran.
Playoff probability
On the Wire
Since Friday: Jaguars at Ravens, 38 points toward JAX, now 21% for the home side (Elo 40%); Giants at Eagles, 6 points toward NYG, now 40% for the home side (Elo 47%); Rams at Commanders, 4 points toward LAR, now 30% for the home side (Elo 40%); Lions at Dolphins, 4 points toward MIA, now 26% for the home side (Elo 41%); Raiders at 49ers, 3 points toward LV, now 80% for the home side (Elo 77%); and 1 more below. Read more →
Since 2026-10-13: Chicago Bears now 75% to make the playoffs; Atlanta Falcons 16%. From 3,000 simulated seasons. Read more →
Seasons
| Season | Record | End Elo | Peak | Quarterbacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5–2 | 1604 | 1604 | Caleb Williams, Case Keenum, Tyson Bagent |
| 2025 | 11–6 | 1548 | 1575 | Caleb Williams |
| 2024 | 5–12 | 1402 | 1535 | Caleb Williams |
| 2023 | 7–10 | 1465 | 1480 | Justin Fields, Tyson Bagent |
| 2022 | 3–14 | 1321 | 1473 | Justin Fields, Trevor Siemian, Nathan Peterman |
| 2021 | 6–11 | 1414 | 1513 | Andy Dalton, Justin Fields, Nick Foles |
| 2020 | 8–8 | 1492 | 1561 | Mitch Trubisky, Nick Foles |
| 2019 | 8–8 | 1534 | 1601 | Mitch Trubisky, Chase Daniel |
| 2018 | 12–4 | 1631 | 1640 | Mitchell Trubisky, Chase Daniel |
| 2017 | 5–11 | 1413 | 1428 | Mike Glennon, Mitchell Trubisky |
| 2016 | 3–13 | 1323 | 1430 | Jay Cutler, Brian Hoyer, Matt Barkley |
| 2015 | 6–10 | 1414 | 1470 | Jay Cutler, Jimmy Clausen |
| 2014 | 5–11 | 1376 | 1538 | Jay Cutler, Jimmy Clausen |
| 2013 | 8–8 | 1488 | 1577 | Jay Cutler, Josh McCown |
| 2012 | 10–6 | 1546 | 1615 | Jay Cutler, Jason Campbell |
| 2011 | 8–8 | 1505 | 1619 | Jay Cutler, Caleb Hanie, Josh McCown |
| 2010 | 11–5 | 1581 | 1604 | Jay Cutler, Todd Collins |
| 2009 | 7–9 | 1462 | 1554 | Jay Cutler |
| 2008 | 9–7 | 1535 | 1569 | Kyle Orton, Rex Grossman |
| 2007 | 7–9 | 1519 | 1575 | Rex Grossman, Brian Griese, Kyle Orton |
| 2006 | 13–3 | 1610 | 1659 | Rex Grossman |
| 2005 | 11–5 | 1521 | 1575 | Kyle Orton, Rex Grossman |
| 2004 | 5–11 | 1364 | 1484 | Rex Grossman, Jonathan Quinn, Craig Krenzel |
| 2003 | 7–9 | 1440 | 1455 | Kordell Stewart, Chris Chandler, Rex Grossman |
| 2002 | 4–12 | 1394 | 1579 | Jim Miller, Chris Chandler, Henry Burris |
| 2001 | 13–3 | 1596 | 1627 | Shane Matthews, Jim Miller |
| 2000 | 5–11 | 1377 | 1429 | Cade McNown, Jim Miller, Shane Matthews |