Importance 51 of 100, the biggest swing in the league's playoff picture on the schedule. Elo has CHI at 72%. Read more →
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Current Elo 1523. Rating after every game since 2020; vertical marks are new starting quarterbacks. Hover for the game.
Playoff odds this season
Now: playoffs 50%, division 49%, title 1%. One point per day the simulation ran.
Playoff probability
On the Wire
Chicago Bears rose to 1639; Seattle Seahawks fell to 1608. Read more →
Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Week 8. The Buccaneers won 16 to 0; the game turned on M.Penix pass short right intended for D.London INTERCEPTED by A.Anzalone at ATL 41. A.Anza. Attendance 61,036. Written from the box score, ESPN's in-game win probability, and the site's own numbers. Read more →
Seasons
| Season | Record | End Elo | Peak | Quarterbacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3–5 | 1523 | 1523 | Baker Mayfield, Jalon Daniels |
| 2025 | 8–9 | 1458 | 1575 | Baker Mayfield |
| 2024 | 10–7 | 1556 | 1576 | Baker Mayfield |
| 2023 | 9–8 | 1540 | 1554 | Baker Mayfield |
| 2022 | 8–9 | 1477 | 1662 | Tom Brady |
| 2021 | 13–4 | 1663 | 1687 | Tom Brady |
| 2020 | 11–5 | 1732 | 1732 | Tom Brady |