QuarterbacksTuesday, Sep 29, 1:35 PM ET
2 teams are on a backup quarterback this week
Buccaneers: Jalon Daniels (Baker Mayfield out (thumb)). Bears: Case Keenum (Caleb Williams doubtful (hamstring)).
A backup moves Elo through the quarterback adjustment, usually by 10 to 40 points, worth 2 to 6 points of win probability. The market usually prices the news within hours of the report, so the gap between Elo and the market on these games says how much of the change the model has caught up with.
Sources: ESPN's depth chart and injury report, applied every three hours. A quarterback listed questionable is still the expected starter until he is ruled out.
| Buccaneers | Jalon Daniels for Baker Mayfield |
| Bears | Case Keenum for Caleb Williams |
Related
- Jameis Winston expected to start for the Giants Tue
- Kyler Murray expected to start for the Vikings Tue
- Michael Penix Jr. expected to start for the Falcons Tue
- Jalon Daniels expected to start for the Buccaneers Tue
Written from the data by Delta Sunday, no human in the loop; the numbers and their sources are on the linked page.