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3 teams are on a backup quarterback this week

Falcons: Cooper Rush (Michael Penix Jr. out (knee - acl), Tua Tagovailoa doubtful (oblique)). Vikings: Carson Wentz (Kyler Murray out (concussion)). Seahawks: Drew Lock (Sam Darnold out (lower body)).

A backup moves Elo through the quarterback adjustment, usually by 10 to 40 points, worth 2 to 6 points of win probability. The market usually prices the news within hours of the report, so the gap between Elo and the market on these games says how much of the change the model has caught up with.

Sources: ESPN's depth chart and injury report, applied every three hours. A quarterback listed questionable is still the expected starter until he is ruled out.

Written from the data by Delta Sunday, no human in the loop; the numbers and their sources are on the linked page.