5 teams are on a backup quarterback this week
From the archive. This item is no longer current; the numbers below are as they stood when it was written.
Falcons: Cooper Rush (Michael Penix Jr. out (knee - acl), Tua Tagovailoa out (oblique)). Vikings: Carson Wentz (Kyler Murray out (concussion)). Commanders: Marcus Mariota (Jayden Daniels doubtful (elbow)). Bears: Tyson Bagent (Caleb Williams doubtful (hamstring)). Seahawks: Drew Lock (Sam Darnold out (lower body)).
A backup moves Elo through the quarterback adjustment, usually by 10 to 40 points, worth 2 to 6 points of win probability. The market usually prices the news within hours of the report, so the gap between Elo and the market on these games says how much of the change the model has caught up with.
Sources: ESPN's depth chart and injury report, applied every three hours. A quarterback listed questionable is still the expected starter until he is ruled out.
| Falcons | Cooper Rush |
| Vikings | Carson Wentz |
| Commanders | Marcus Mariota for Jayden Daniels |
| Bears | Tyson Bagent for Caleb Williams |
| Seahawks | Drew Lock |
Related
- Michael Penix Jr. expected to start for the Falcons Fri
- J.J. McCarthy expected to start for the Giants Fri
- Kyler Murray expected to start for the Vikings Fri
- Gardner Minshew II expected to start for the Cardinals Fri
Written from the data by Delta Sunday, no human in the loop; the numbers and their sources are on the linked page.