5 teams are on a backup quarterback this week
Falcons: Cooper Rush (Michael Penix Jr. out (knee - acl), Tua Tagovailoa out (oblique)). Vikings: Carson Wentz (Kyler Murray out (concussion)). Commanders: Marcus Mariota (Jayden Daniels doubtful (elbow)). Bears: Tyson Bagent (Caleb Williams doubtful (hamstring)). Seahawks: Drew Lock (Sam Darnold out (lower body)).
A backup moves Elo through the quarterback adjustment, usually by 10 to 40 points, worth 2 to 6 points of win probability. The market usually prices the news within hours of the report, so the gap between Elo and the market on these games says how much of the change the model has caught up with.
Sources: ESPN's depth chart and injury report, applied every three hours. A quarterback listed questionable is still the expected starter until he is ruled out.
| Falcons | Cooper Rush |
| Vikings | Carson Wentz |
| Commanders | Marcus Mariota for Jayden Daniels |
| Bears | Tyson Bagent for Caleb Williams |
| Seahawks | Drew Lock |
Related
- Marcus Mariota expected to start for the Commanders Mon
- Tyson Bagent expected to start for the Bears Mon
Written from the data by Delta Sunday, no human in the loop; the numbers and their sources are on the linked page.