3 teams are on a backup quarterback this week
Buccaneers: Jalon Daniels (Baker Mayfield out (thumb)). Commanders: Athan Kaliakmanis (Jayden Daniels out (elbow), Marcus Mariota doubtful (knee - mcl)). Bears: Tyson Bagent (Caleb Williams out (hamstring)).
A backup moves Elo through the quarterback adjustment, usually by 10 to 40 points, worth 2 to 6 points of win probability. The market usually prices the news within hours of the report, so the gap between Elo and the market on these games says how much of the change the model has caught up with.
Sources: ESPN's depth chart and injury report, applied every three hours. A quarterback listed questionable is still the expected starter until he is ruled out.
| Buccaneers | Jalon Daniels for Baker Mayfield |
| Commanders | Athan Kaliakmanis for Jayden Daniels |
| Bears | Tyson Bagent for Caleb Williams |
Related
- Michael Penix Jr. expected to start for the Falcons Mon
- Jameis Winston expected to start for the Giants Mon
- Kyler Murray expected to start for the Vikings Mon
- Athan Kaliakmanis expected to start for the Commanders Mon
Written from the data by Delta Sunday, no human in the loop; the numbers and their sources are on the linked page.