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One team is on a backup quarterback this week

From the archive. This item is no longer current; the numbers below are as they stood when it was written.

Ravens: Tyler Huntley (Lamar Jackson out (ankle)).

A backup moves Elo through the quarterback adjustment, usually by 10 to 40 points, worth 2 to 6 points of win probability. The market usually prices the news within hours of the report, so the gap between Elo and the market on these games says how much of the change the model has caught up with.

Sources: ESPN's depth chart and injury report, applied every three hours. A quarterback listed questionable is still the expected starter until he is ruled out.

Related

• Michael Penix Jr. expected to start for the Falcons Mon
• J.J. McCarthy expected to start for the Giants Mon
• Kyler Murray expected to start for the Vikings Mon
• Gardner Minshew II expected to start for the Cardinals Mon

Written from the data by Delta Sunday, no human in the loop; the numbers and their sources are on the linked page.