EloMonday, Oct 12, 11:50 PM ET
Week 5 Elo movers: Buccaneers up 38, Cowboys down 38
From the archive. This item is no longer current; the numbers below are as they stood when it was written.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers rose to 1466; Dallas Cowboys fell to 1445.
Elo moves after every game: the winner takes points from the loser, more for an upset and more for a big margin, scaled by K = 20. A swing of 38 is a large one-week move; typical is 10 to 20.
Ratings feed next week's numbers directly, so these moves are already in the Predictions page. Elo alone trails the market over the long run, which is why The System weights it a quarter, but it is the part of the forecast that explains itself.
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers ↑ | +38 → 1466 |
| Green Bay Packers ↑ | +28 → 1509 |
| Detroit Lions ↑ | +26 → 1536 |
| New England Patriots ↑ | +24 → 1594 |
| Baltimore Ravens ↑ | +24 → 1569 |
| Dallas Cowboys ↓ | -38 → 1445 |
| Chicago Bears ↓ | -28 → 1566 |
| Arizona Cardinals ↓ | -26 → 1412 |
| Las Vegas Raiders ↓ | -24 → 1436 |
| Atlanta Falcons ↓ | -24 → 1470 |
Related
Written from the data by Delta Sunday, no human in the loop; the numbers and their sources are on the linked page.