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EloMonday, Oct 26, 11:20 PM ET

Week 7 Elo movers: Buccaneers up 47, Panthers down 47

From the archive. This item is no longer current; the numbers below are as they stood when it was written.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers rose to 1498; Carolina Panthers fell to 1461.

Elo moves after every game: the winner takes points from the loser, more for an upset and more for a big margin, scaled by K = 20. A swing of 47 is a large one-week move; typical is 10 to 20.

Ratings feed next week's numbers directly, so these moves are already in the Predictions page. Elo alone trails the market over the long run, which is why The System weights it a quarter, but it is the part of the forecast that explains itself.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers ↑+47 → 1498
Dallas Cowboys ↑+37 → 1464
Cincinnati Bengals ↑+33 → 1561
Atlanta Falcons ↑+33 → 1482
New York Giants ↑+32 → 1504
Carolina Panthers ↓-47 → 1461
Philadelphia Eagles ↓-37 → 1424
Baltimore Ravens ↓-33 → 1521
San Francisco 49ers ↓-33 → 1619
Houston Texans ↓-32 → 1498

Related

Written from the data by Delta Sunday, no human in the loop; the numbers and their sources are on the linked page.