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WeatherMonday, Sep 21, 11:17 PM ET

Weather watch: 16 mph wind for Rams at Broncos

From the archive. This item is no longer current; the numbers below are as they stood when it was written.

Forecast at kickoff Sunday 8 PM ET. In wind of 15+ mph, favorites have won 62% against a 65% forecast over 27 seasons; The System shrinks toward 50.

Weather is one of the few things the betting market prices loosely, because it is only known a few days out and most money is down before that. Over 4,500 outdoor games with weather on record, wind was the clearest effect: it takes away the passing edge a favorite usually has, and games score about a point and a half under the total.

The forecast comes from Open-Meteo for the stadium at the kickoff hour and refreshes every six hours, so this can change before Sunday. The game page shows the current reading.

Wind16 mph
Temperature81°F
EloDEN 57%
KickoffSunday 8:20 PM ET

Related

Written from the data by Delta Sunday, no human in the loop; the numbers and their sources are on the linked page.