Weather watch: 89°F heat for Patriots at Jaguars
From the archive. This item is no longer current; the numbers below are as they stood when it was written.
Forecast at kickoff Sunday 1 PM ET. In heat above 75°F favorites underperform slightly; The System shrinks a tenth.
Weather is one of the few things the betting market prices loosely, because it is only known a few days out and most money is down before that. Over 4,500 outdoor games with weather on record, wind was the clearest effect: it takes away the passing edge a favorite usually has, and games score about a point and a half under the total.
The forecast comes from Open-Meteo for the stadium at the kickoff hour and refreshes every six hours, so this can change before Sunday. The game page shows the current reading.
| Wind | 4 mph |
| Temperature | 89°F |
| Elo | JAX 53% |
| Kickoff | Sunday 1:00 PM ET |
Related
Written from the data by Delta Sunday, no human in the loop; the numbers and their sources are on the linked page.