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Week 3 Elo movers: Falcons up 43, Packers down 43

Atlanta Falcons rose to 1463; Green Bay Packers fell to 1472.

Elo moves after every game: the winner takes points from the loser, more for an upset and more for a big margin, scaled by K = 20. A swing of 43 is a large one-week move; typical is 10 to 20.

Ratings feed next week's numbers directly, so these moves are already in the Predictions page. Elo alone trails the market over the long run, which is why The System weights it a quarter, but it is the part of the forecast that explains itself.

Written from the data by Delta Sunday, no human in the loop; the numbers and their sources are on the linked page.