Tampa Bay Buccaneers rose to 1523; Atlanta Falcons fell to 1457. Read more →
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Kansas City Chiefs at Atlanta Falcons
Game data updated just now · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 10, 2026 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium · Sunday, Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET · closed
Kansas City Chiefs5–2 · Elo 1539 · Patrick Mahomes (+46 Elo)
Atlanta Falcons
3–5 · Elo 1457 · Michael Penix Jr. (+28 Elo) · Home
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What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | ATL | KC | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | KC 57% | 43% | 57% | ATL 1457 vs KC 1539, implied spread ATL +2.1 |
| The blend | KC 57% | 43% | 57% |
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The spot: Everything else
Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.
No market line yet.
Details
- Rest: ATL 7 days, KC 7 days.
- Quarterbacks. ATL: Michael Penix Jr. (+28 Elo). KC: Patrick Mahomes (+46 Elo). Expected starters from ESPN's depth chart with the injury report applied, refreshed every three hours.
- Weather. Indoors (roof closed), so no weather adjustment.
Injury report
ESPN's report, refreshed every three hours. Out and doubtful players are treated as unavailable; questionable players usually play. Only the quarterback feeds Elo directly; the rest is in the market's number.
| Team | Player | Pos | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KC | Mansoor Delane | CB | Out | Shoulder · out |
| KC | Omarr Norman-Lott | DT | Out | Knee - ACL · The Chiefs designated Norman-Lott (knee) to return from injured reserve Wednesday. |
| KC | Peter Woods | DT | Questionable | Neck · Woods (neck) has been ruled out for the rest of Sunday's contest against the Broncos. |
| ATL | Anterio Thompson | DT | Out | Undisclosed · Thompson posted on social media this week that he was diagnosed with a genetic mutation on his spinal cord in early May and indicated that he was told he will "never play football again," Josh Kendall of The Athletic reports. |
| ATL | Billy Bowman Jr. | CB | Out | Hamstring · out |
| ATL | Brian Robinson Jr. | RB | Out | Hamstring · out |
| ATL | Divine Deablo | LB | Out | Forearm · out |
| ATL | Samson Ebukam | DE | Out | Hamstring · Ebukam (hamstring) has been ruled out for Atlanta's Week 9 matchup versus the Bengals, William McFadden of the team's official site reports. |
| ATL | Zachariah Branch | WR | Out | Hamstring · Coach Kevin Stefanski noted Monday that Branch (hamstring) won't play Sunday against the Bengals, William McFadden of the Falcons' official site reports. |
On the Wire
AFC East: Bills 5-1. AFC North: Browns 5-2. AFC South: Jaguars 4-2. AFC West: Chiefs 5-1. NFC East: Giants 4-2-1. NFC North: Vikings 6-0. NFC South: Panthers 3-3. NFC West: 49ers 6-1. Unbeaten: Vikings. Winless: Chargers. Read more →
Since 2026-10-13: Chicago Bears now 75% to make the playoffs; Atlanta Falcons 16%. From 3,000 simulated seasons. Read more →
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.