Seattle Seahawks at Las Vegas Raiders
Game data updated 5 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 10, 2026 · Sunday, Nov 15, 9:05 PM · dome
Seattle Seahawks1–0 · Elo 1636 · Drew Lock (-30)
Las Vegas Raiders
1–0 · Elo 1420 · Kirk Cousins (+70) · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | LV | SEA | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | SEA 60% | 40% | 60% | LV 1420 vs SEA 1636, implied spread LV +2.7 |
| Closing spread | SEA 70% | 30% | 70% | LV +7 |
| The blend | SEA 67% | 33% | 67% |
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The spot: Big disagreement
Elo and the market are 10 or more points apart. Over 24 seasons (943 games) Elo's side won 50% while Elo claimed 63% and the market 49%. The market was right almost every time. Take the market's number, or split the difference at most. This is where Elo is overconfident.
Seattle Seahawks over the Raiders: Elo 60%, market 70%. Big disagreement: trust the market number. Cousins is worth 70 Elo; Lock is costing 30 Elo.
Details
- Rest: LV 7 days, SEA 7 days.
- Quarterback adjustment: LV +70 (Kirk Cousins), SEA -30 (Drew Lock). How that works.
- Weather. Indoors (dome), so no weather adjustment.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.