Lions at Dolphins: 87°F heat at kickoff Sunday 1 PM ET. Cardinals at Seahawks: 15 mph wind at kickoff Sunday 4 PM ET. In wind of 15+ mph, favorites have won 62% against a 65% forecast over 27 seasons; The System shrinks toward 50. In heat above 75°F favorites underperform slightly; The System shrinks a tenth. Read more →
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Arizona Cardinals at Kansas City Chiefs
Game data updated just now · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 11, 2026 · GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium · Sunday, Nov 22, 1:00 PM ET · outdoors
Arizona Cardinals3–5 · Elo 1439 · Gardner Minshew II (−87 Elo)
Kansas City Chiefs
5–2 · Elo 1539 · Patrick Mahomes (+46 Elo) · Home
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What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | KC | ARI | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | KC 83% | 83% | 17% | KC 1539 vs ARI 1439, implied spread KC −11.3 |
| The blend | KC 83% | 83% | 17% |
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The spot: Everything else
Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.
No market line yet.
Details
- Rest: KC 7 days, ARI 7 days.
- Quarterbacks. KC: Patrick Mahomes (+46 Elo). ARI: Gardner Minshew II (-87 Elo). Expected starters from ESPN's depth chart with the injury report applied, refreshed every three hours.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Sunday.
Injury report
ESPN's report, refreshed every three hours. Out and doubtful players are treated as unavailable; questionable players usually play. Only the quarterback feeds Elo directly; the rest is in the market's number.
| Team | Player | Pos | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | Jon Gaines II | G | Out | Ankle · out |
| ARI | Kendrick Bourne | WR | Out | Lower Leg · Bourne suffered a fractured right tibia during Sunday's overtime win at Dallas that won't require surgery but will sideline him for three months, ending his 2026 season, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports. |
| ARI | Walter Nolen III | DT | Out | Ankle · out |
| ARI | Bam Knight | RB | Questionable | Concussion · Head coach Mike LaFleur revealed Monday that Knight is in the concussion protocol following Sunday's overtime win in Dallas, Josh Weinfuss of ESPN.com reports. |
| ARI | Jayden Williams | OT | Questionable | Knee · Williams (knee) has been ruled out for the rest of Sunday's game against the Cowboys, Darren Urban of the Cardinals' official site reports. |
| ARI | Jeremiyah Love | RB | Questionable | Ankle · Head coach Mike LaFleur said Monday that Love suffered a "new" ankle injury during Sunday's overtime win at Dallas, and that he'll have an update on the running back later this week, Josh Weinfuss of ESPN.com reports. |
| ARI | Michael Wilson | WR | Questionable | Ribs · Wilson said after Sunday's 33-30 win at Dallas that he suffered two broken ribs during the contest, Josh Weinfuss of ESPN.com reports. |
| KC | Mansoor Delane | CB | Out | Shoulder · out |
| KC | Omarr Norman-Lott | DT | Out | Knee - ACL · The Chiefs designated Norman-Lott (knee) to return from injured reserve Wednesday. |
| KC | Peter Woods | DT | Questionable | Neck · Woods (neck) has been ruled out for the rest of Sunday's contest against the Broncos. |
On the Wire
Since 2026-10-13: Chicago Bears now 75% to make the playoffs; Atlanta Falcons 16%. From 3,000 simulated seasons. Read more →
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.