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← Back to Week 11 picks · Back to Week 11 predictions
Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans
Game data updated 2 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 11, 2026 · Reliant Stadium · Thursday, Nov 19, 8:15 PM ET · closed
Make your pick
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | HOU | IND | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | HOU 66% | 66% | 34% | HOU 1498 vs IND 1434, implied spread HOU −4.7 |
| The blend | HOU 66% | 66% | 34% |
The System's number and our picks of the week are for signed-in players. Sign in to see them.
The spot: Everything else
Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.
No market line yet.
Details
- Rest: HOU 4 days, IND 4 days.
- Quarterbacks. HOU: C.J. Stroud (+1 Elo). IND: Daniel Jones (-6 Elo). Expected starters from ESPN's depth chart with the injury report applied, refreshed every three hours.
- Weather. Indoors (roof closed), so no weather adjustment.
Injury report
ESPN's report, refreshed every three hours. Out and doubtful players are treated as unavailable; questionable players usually play. Only the quarterback feeds Elo directly; the rest is in the market's number.
| Team | Player | Pos | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IND | Anthony Gould | WR | Out | Concussion · out |
| IND | Bryce Boettcher | LB | Out | Groin · out |
| IND | Justin Walley | CB | Out | Knee · out |
| HOU | Blake Fisher | OT | Questionable | Thumb · questionable |
| HOU | David Montgomery | RB | Questionable | Groin · Texans head coach DeMeco Ryans said Monday that he has "no significant update" on the status of Montgomery (groin) heading into a Week 9 matchup with the Chargers, Jonathan M. Alexander of the Houston Chronicle reports. |
| HOU | Jalen Pitre | S | Questionable | Shoulder - AC Joint · questionable |
| HOU | Reed Blankenship | S | Questionable | Concussion · Blankenship (concussion/hand) underwent surgery on his left hand in October, Jonathan M. Alexander of the Houston Chronicle reports. |
On the Wire
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.

