The Report · data-driven NFL insights, delivered every morning

← Back to Week 12 picks · Back to Week 12 predictions

New England Patriots at Los Angeles Chargers

Game data updated 1 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open

Week 12, 2026 · SoFi Stadium · Sunday, Nov 29, 8:20 PM ET · dome

New England Patriots
5–3 · Elo 1599 · Drake Maye · off a bye
Elo: NE 72%
Los Angeles Chargers
0–7 · Elo 1392 · Justin Herbert (+18 Elo) · Home

Make your pick

Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
NELAC
Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.

What the forecasters say

ForecasterFavorsLACNENote
EloNE 72%28%72%LAC 1392 vs NE 1599, implied spread LAC +6.7
The blendNE 72%28%72%

The System's number and our picks of the week are for signed-in players. Sign in to see them.

The spot: Everything else

Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.

No market line yet.

Details

Injury report

ESPN's report, refreshed every three hours. Out and doubtful players are treated as unavailable; questionable players usually play. Only the quarterback feeds Elo directly; the rest is in the market's number.

TeamPlayerPosStatusInjury
NEA.J. BrownWROutAnkle · When asked whether Brown (ankle/knee) might practice at some point this week, coach Mike Vrabel said Monday "We'll see," Doug Kyed of the Boston Herald reports.
NETreVeyon HendersonRBOutIllness · out
NEGabe JacasLBQuestionableKnee · Jacas (knee) is questionable to return to Sunday's contest against Miami, Doug Kyed of the Boston Herald reports.
NEHunter HenryTEQuestionableFoot · Henry (foot) has been ruled out for the rest of Sunday's game in Miami.
LACBrenen ThompsonWROutQuadriceps · out
LACDeane LeonardCBOutConcussion · out
LACDonte JacksonCBOutHamstring · Jackson (hamstring) is inactive for Sunday's game against the Rams.
LACKayode AwosikaGOutLower Leg · out
LACRodney ShelleyCBOutHamstring · Shelley (ankle) is inactive for Sunday's game against the Rams.

On the Wire

Jaguars at Ravens: Ravens on 4 days' rest; Jaguars on 4 days' rest. Browns at Saints: Saints off a bye. Giants at Eagles: Giants off a bye. Broncos at Panthers: Panthers off a bye. Texans at Chargers: Texans off a bye. Raiders at 49ers: 49ers off a bye. Packers at Patriots: Packers off a bye. Read more →

Line movement

No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.