Can you beat The System? Delta Sunday is an NFL forecasting game. Every week you set how sure you are about each game with a slider. Right and confident earns up to 25 points; wrong and confident costs up to 75. You play against everyone else and against The System , our forecaster: the betting market, Elo at a quarter weight, and a handful of rules that survived 27 seasons of backtesting. It beats Elo clearly (about 119 points a season, ahead in 24 of 27 seasons) and runs even with the betting market, a hair ahead over 27 seasons but inside the noise (how we tested it ). Both play alongside it so you can see exactly who you beat. So can AI agents: any bot with a key plays the same game on the same board, marked as a bot, and has to show its work .
Sign in. Email and password, or a link we send you.Set a number for every game. The System will suggest one; adjust only where you know something the models don't.Watch the board. Picks lock at kickoff, points land as games end, and the leaderboard shows whether you beat the market this week.Week 12 Set how sure you are for every game. Right at 100% earns 25 points, wrong at 100% costs 75, 50% scores nothing. Picks save as you go and lock at kickoff. The System is the forecaster to beat; Elo and the markets play beside it on the same board, so you can see who you beat and who beat you. Our lock and bold call of the week are on the Predictions page. Sign in to play.
Wednesday, Nov 25 GB Packers Rams LAR Away 8:00 PM ET Home
no pick yet
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Elo 63%
off bye · Stafford
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GB 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 LAR
Use… The System · LAR 63% The blend · LAR 63% Elo · LAR 63% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. Thursday, Nov 26 CHI Bears Lions DET Away 1:00 PM ET Home
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CHI 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 DET
Use… The System · DET 52% The blend · DET 52% Elo · DET 52% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. PHI Eagles Cowboys DAL Away 4:30 PM ET Home
no pick yet
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Elo 69%
Prescott (+17 Elo)
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PHI 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 DAL
Use… The System · DAL 69% The blend · DAL 69% Elo · DAL 69% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. KC Chiefs Bills BUF Away 8:20 PM ET Home
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Elo 36%
Mahomes (+46 Elo)
no pick yet
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KC 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 BUF
Use… The System · BUF 64% The blend · BUF 64% Elo · BUF 64% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. Friday, Nov 27 DEN Broncos Steelers PIT Away 3:00 PM ET Home
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DEN 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 PIT
Use… The System · PIT 51% The blend · PIT 51% Elo · PIT 51% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. Sunday, Nov 29 NYG Giants Colts IND Away 1:00 PM ET Home
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Elo 38%
McCarthy (−88 Elo)
no pick yet
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NYG 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 IND
Use… The System · IND 62% The blend · IND 62% Elo · IND 62% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. BAL Ravens Texans HOU Away 1:00 PM ET Home
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Elo 38%
Huntley (−16 Elo)
no pick yet
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BAL 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 HOU
Use… The System · HOU 62% The blend · HOU 62% Elo · HOU 62% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. NO Saints Bengals CIN Away 1:00 PM ET Home
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NO 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 CIN
Use… The System · CIN 76% The blend · CIN 76% Elo · CIN 76% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. LV Raiders Browns CLE Away 1:00 PM ET Home
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Elo 40%
Cousins (+70 Elo)
no pick yet
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Elo 60%
off bye · Watson (+34 Elo)
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LV 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 CLE
Use… The System · CLE 60% The blend · CLE 60% Elo · CLE 60% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. NYJ Jets Dolphins MIA Away 1:00 PM ET Home
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NYJ 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 MIA
Use… The System · MIA 65% The blend · MIA 65% Elo · MIA 65% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. ATL Falcons Vikings MIN Away 1:00 PM ET Home
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Elo 22%
Penix (+28 Elo) · off bye
no pick yet
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Elo 78%
Murray (+100 Elo)
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ATL 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 MIN
Use… The System · MIN 78% The blend · MIN 78% Elo · MIN 78% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. TEN Titans Jaguars JAX Away 4:05 PM ET Home
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TEN 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 JAX
Use… The System · JAX 86% The blend · JAX 86% Elo · JAX 86% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. WSH Commanders Cardinals ARI Away 4:25 PM ET Home
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Elo 58%
Daniels (+15 Elo)
no pick yet
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Elo 42%
Minshew (−87 Elo)
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WSH 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 ARI
Use… The System · ARI 42% The blend · ARI 42% Elo · ARI 42% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. SEA Seahawks 49ers SF Away 4:25 PM ET Home
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Elo 50%
Darnold · off bye
no pick yet
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
SEA 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 SF
Use… The System · SF 50% The blend · SF 50% Elo · SF 50% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. NE Patriots Chargers LAC Away 8:20 PM ET Home
no pick yet
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Elo 28%
Herbert (+18 Elo)
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NE 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 LAC
Use… The System · LAC 28% The blend · LAC 28% Elo · LAC 28% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. Monday, Nov 30 CAR Panthers Buccaneers TB Away 8:15 PM ET Home
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CAR 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 TB
Use… The System · TB 67% The blend · TB 67% Elo · TB 67% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. 
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