Detroit Lions at Atlanta Falcons
Game data updated 4 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 13, 2026 · Sunday, Dec 6, 6:00 PM · closed
Detroit Lions1–1 · Elo 1519 · Jared Goff · off a bye
Atlanta Falcons
0–1 · Elo 1465 · Cooper Rush (-26) · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | ATL | DET | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | DET 58% | 42% | 58% | ATL 1465 vs DET 1519, implied spread ATL +2.3 |
| Closing spread | DET 60% | 40% | 60% | ATL +3.5 |
| The blend | DET 62% | 38% | 62% |
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The spot: Tight agreement
Elo and the market agree on the favorite within 4 points. Over 24 seasons (2,312 games) favorites here won 69.2% against a 67.7% forecast; in 2023–25 it ran hotter, 74% against 66%. Lean a little toward the favorite. The blend adds 2 points.
Detroit Lions over the Falcons: Elo 58%, market 60%. Tight agreement: go above both. Rush is costing 26 Elo; DET off a bye.
Details
- Rest: ATL 7 days, DET 10 days. DET off a bye (+25 Elo).
- Quarterback adjustment: ATL -26 (Cooper Rush), DET 0 (Jared Goff). How that works.
- Weather. Indoors (roof closed), so no weather adjustment.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.