Los Angeles Chargers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Game data updated 3 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 13, 2026 · Sunday, Dec 6, 6:00 PM · outdoors
Los Angeles Chargers0–1 · Elo 1481 · Justin Herbert (+18)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
0–1 · Elo 1466 · Baker Mayfield · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | TB | LAC | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | TB 52% | 52% | 48% | TB 1466 vs LAC 1481, implied spread TB −0.6 |
| Closing spread | LAC 57% | 43% | 57% | TB +2.5 |
| The blend | LAC 55% | 45% | 55% |
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The spot: Everything else
Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.
Los Angeles Chargers over the Buccaneers: Elo 48%, market 57%. Nothing to exploit; the blend is fine. Herbert is worth 18 Elo.
Details
- Rest: TB 6 days, LAC 7 days.
- Quarterback adjustment: TB 0 (Baker Mayfield), LAC +18 (Justin Herbert). How that works.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Sunday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.