Seattle Seahawks at Denver Broncos
Game data updated 5 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 6, 2026 · Friday, Oct 16, 12:15 AM · outdoors
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | DEN | SEA | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | SEA 52% | 48% | 52% | DEN 1547 vs SEA 1636, implied spread DEN +0.4 |
| Closing spread | SEA 54% | 46% | 54% | DEN +1.5 |
| The blend | SEA 54% | 46% | 54% |
The System's number and our picks of the week are for signed-in players. Sign in, it's free.
The spot: Coin flips
Every model has the game between 45% and 55%. Replays: these resolved 50/50, and confident picks on them cost the most points per game. Leave the slider near 50. A wrong 65% costs more than a right one earns.
Seattle Seahawks over the Broncos: Elo 52%, market 54%. Coin flip: stay near 50. Lock is costing 30 Elo.
Details
- Rest: DEN 4 days, SEA 4 days.
- Quarterback adjustment: DEN -1 (Bo Nix), SEA -30 (Drew Lock). How that works.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Friday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.