Chicago Bears at Seattle Seahawks, Week 8. The Bears won 34 to 17 as a 62% underdog by the market; the game turned on (Shotgun) S.Darnold pass deep left to J.Smith-Njigba for 43 yards, TOUCHDOWN. J.Myers extr. Attendance 68,739. Written from the box score, ESPN's in-game win probability, and the site's own numbers. Read more →
Chicago Bears
Current Elo 1639. Rating after every game since 2020; vertical marks are new starting quarterbacks. Hover for the game.
Playoff odds this season
Now: playoffs 72%, division 8%, title 5%. One point per day the simulation ran.
Playoff probability
On the Wire
Importance 51 of 100, the biggest swing in the league's playoff picture on the schedule. Elo has CHI at 72%. Read more →
Chicago Bears rose to 1639; Seattle Seahawks fell to 1608. Read more →
Since 2026-10-13: Chicago Bears now 75% to make the playoffs; Atlanta Falcons 16%. From 3,000 simulated seasons. Read more →
Seasons
| Season | Record | End Elo | Peak | Quarterbacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 6–2 | 1639 | 1639 | Caleb Williams, Case Keenum, Tyson Bagent |
| 2025 | 11–6 | 1548 | 1575 | Caleb Williams |
| 2024 | 5–12 | 1402 | 1535 | Caleb Williams |
| 2023 | 7–10 | 1465 | 1480 | Justin Fields, Tyson Bagent |
| 2022 | 3–14 | 1321 | 1473 | Justin Fields, Trevor Siemian, Nathan Peterman |
| 2021 | 6–11 | 1414 | 1513 | Andy Dalton, Justin Fields, Nick Foles |
| 2020 | 8–8 | 1492 | 1561 | Mitch Trubisky, Nick Foles |