The Report · data-driven NFL insights, delivered every morning

← Ratings

Kansas City Chiefs

Current Elo 1539. Rating after every game since 2020; vertical marks are new starting quarterbacks. Hover for the game.

Kansas City Chiefs Elo since 2020145015001550160016501700175018002020202120222023202420252026avg 1505HenneMahomesGabbertMahomesWentzMahomesOladokunMahomes

Playoff odds this season

Now: playoffs 85%, division 39%, title 3%. One point per day the simulation ran.

Playoff probabilityKC playoff oddsSep 18, 8 PM ET: 71%Sep 19, 8 PM ET: 72%Sep 20, 8 PM ET: 78%Sep 21, 8 PM ET: 75%Sep 22, 8 PM ET: 76%Sep 23, 8 PM ET: 75%Sep 24, 8 PM ET: 74%Sep 25, 8 PM ET: 74%Sep 26, 8 PM ET: 90%Sep 27, 8 PM ET: 86%Sep 28, 8 PM ET: 86%Sep 29, 8 PM ET: 85%Sep 30, 8 PM ET: 86%Oct 1, 8 PM ET: 84%Oct 2, 8 PM ET: 86%Oct 3, 8 PM ET: 85%Oct 4, 8 PM ET: 94%Oct 5, 8 PM ET: 95%Oct 6, 8 PM ET: 96%Oct 7, 8 PM ET: 94%Oct 8, 8 PM ET: 94%Oct 9, 8 PM ET: 95%Oct 10, 8 PM ET: 94%Oct 11, 8 PM ET: 94%Oct 12, 8 PM ET: 94%Oct 13, 8 PM ET: 92%Oct 14, 8 PM ET: 93%Oct 15, 8 PM ET: 93%Oct 16, 8 PM ET: 93%Oct 17, 8 PM ET: 93%Oct 18, 8 PM ET: 95%Oct 19, 8 PM ET: 96%Oct 20, 8 PM ET: 96%Oct 21, 8 PM ET: 96%Oct 22, 8 PM ET: 96%Oct 23, 8 PM ET: 96%Oct 24, 8 PM ET: 95%Oct 25, 8 PM ET: 92%Oct 26, 8 PM ET: 91%Oct 27, 8 PM ET: 92%Oct 28, 8 PM ET: 91%Oct 29, 8 PM ET: 91%Oct 30, 8 PM ET: 92%Oct 31, 8 PM ET: 91%Nov 1, 7 PM ET: 84%Nov 2, 7 PM ET: 85%

On the Wire

Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos, Week 8. The Broncos won 28 to 24; the game turned on (Shotgun) PENALTY on KC-J.Moore, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at DEN 1 - No Play.. Attendance 76,831. Written from the box score, ESPN's in-game win probability, and the site's own numbers. Read more →

Seasons

SeasonRecordEnd EloPeakQuarterbacks
20265–215391575Patrick Mahomes
20256–1114711632Patrick Mahomes, Chris Oladokun
202415–216731730Patrick Mahomes, Carson Wentz
202311–616821682Patrick Mahomes, Blaine Gabbert
202214–317571757Patrick Mahomes
202112–516901714Patrick Mahomes
202014–217131778Patrick Mahomes, Chad Henne