Chicago Bears rose to 1639; Seattle Seahawks fell to 1608. Read more →
Minnesota Vikings
Current Elo 1584. Rating after every game since 2020; vertical marks are new starting quarterbacks. Hover for the game.
Playoff odds this season
Now: playoffs 99%, division 79%, title 11%. One point per day the simulation ran.
Playoff probability
On the Wire
AFC East: Bills 6-1. AFC North: Steelers 6-2. AFC South: Jaguars 5-2. AFC West: Broncos 6-2. NFC East: Giants 4-2-1. NFC North: Vikings 6-1. NFC South: Panthers 3-4. NFC West: 49ers 6-1. Winless: Chargers. Read more →
Carson Wentz started last time out. Elo's quarterback adjustment for the Vikings is now +100 points on Bills at Vikings. Read more →
Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions, Week 8. The Lions won 19 to 15; the game turned on K.Murray pass deep middle to J.Addison to DET 10 for 51 yards (K.Dorsey).. Written from the box score, ESPN's in-game win probability, and the site's own numbers. Read more →
Seasons
| Season | Record | End Elo | Peak | Quarterbacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 6–1 | 1584 | 1606 | Carson Wentz, Kyler Murray |
| 2025 | 9–8 | 1568 | 1568 | J.J. McCarthy, Carson Wentz, Max Brosmer |
| 2024 | 14–3 | 1598 | 1652 | Sam Darnold |
| 2023 | 7–10 | 1489 | 1574 | Kirk Cousins, Joshua Dobbs, Nick Mullens |
| 2022 | 13–4 | 1529 | 1618 | Kirk Cousins |
| 2021 | 8–9 | 1518 | 1535 | Kirk Cousins, Sean Mannion |
| 2020 | 7–9 | 1489 | 1554 | Kirk Cousins |