Jaguars at Ravens $226k, Raiders at 49ers $61k, Packers at Patriots $35k traded on Kalshi and Polymarket. The exchanges and the books agree within four points everywhere. Read more →
New England Patriots
Current Elo 1599. Rating after every game since 2010; vertical marks are new starting quarterbacks. Hover for the game.
Playoff odds this season
Now: playoffs 79%, division 26%, title 4%. One point per day the simulation ran.
Playoff probability
On the Wire
Jaguars at Ravens: Ravens on 4 days' rest; Jaguars on 4 days' rest. Browns at Saints: Saints off a bye. Giants at Eagles: Giants off a bye. Broncos at Panthers: Panthers off a bye. Texans at Chargers: Texans off a bye. Raiders at 49ers: 49ers off a bye. Packers at Patriots: Packers off a bye. Read more →
New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins, Week 8. The Patriots won 24 to 19; the game turned on (Shotgun) D.Maye pass incomplete deep right to K.Williams (M.Taaffe).New England challenge. Attendance 59,023. Written from the box score, ESPN's in-game win probability, and the site's own numbers. Read more →
Seasons
| Season | Record | End Elo | Peak | Quarterbacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5–3 | 1599 | 1604 | Drake Maye |
| 2025 | 14–3 | 1646 | 1668 | Drake Maye |
| 2024 | 4–13 | 1348 | 1467 | Jacoby Brissett, Drake Maye, Joe Milton III |
| 2023 | 4–13 | 1371 | 1490 | Mac Jones, Bailey Zappe |
| 2022 | 8–9 | 1513 | 1555 | Mac Jones, Brian Hoyer, Bailey Zappe |
| 2021 | 10–7 | 1553 | 1642 | Mac Jones |
| 2020 | 7–9 | 1499 | 1591 | Cam Newton, Brian Hoyer |
| 2019 | 12–4 | 1620 | 1726 | Tom Brady |
| 2018 | 11–5 | 1709 | 1709 | Tom Brady |
| 2017 | 13–3 | 1724 | 1751 | Tom Brady |
| 2016 | 14–2 | 1779 | 1779 | Jimmy Garoppolo, Jacoby Brissett, Tom Brady |
| 2015 | 12–4 | 1656 | 1763 | Tom Brady |
| 2014 | 12–4 | 1743 | 1743 | Tom Brady |
| 2013 | 12–4 | 1684 | 1704 | Tom Brady |
| 2012 | 12–4 | 1700 | 1752 | Tom Brady |
| 2011 | 13–3 | 1735 | 1758 | Tom Brady |
| 2010 | 14–2 | 1711 | 1745 | Tom Brady |