Lions at Dolphins: 87°F heat at kickoff Sunday 1 PM ET. Cardinals at Seahawks: 15 mph wind at kickoff Sunday 4 PM ET. In wind of 15+ mph, favorites have won 62% against a 65% forecast over 27 seasons; The System shrinks toward 50. In heat above 75°F favorites underperform slightly; The System shrinks a tenth. Read more →
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Washington Commanders at Arizona Cardinals
Game data updated just now · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 12, 2026 · State Farm Stadium · Sunday, Nov 29, 4:25 PM ET · closed
Washington Commanders2–4–1 · Elo 1443 · Jayden Daniels (+15 Elo)
Arizona Cardinals
3–5 · Elo 1439 · Gardner Minshew II (−87 Elo) · Home
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WSHARI
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What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | ARI | WSH | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | WSH 58% | 42% | 58% | ARI 1439 vs WSH 1443, implied spread ARI +2.3 |
| The blend | WSH 58% | 42% | 58% |
The System's number and our picks of the week are for signed-in players. Sign in to see them.
The spot: Everything else
Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.
No market line yet.
Details
- Rest: ARI 7 days, WSH 6 days.
- Quarterbacks. ARI: Gardner Minshew II (-87 Elo). WSH: Jayden Daniels (+15 Elo). Expected starters from ESPN's depth chart with the injury report applied, refreshed every three hours.
- Weather. Indoors (roof closed), so no weather adjustment.
Injury report
ESPN's report, refreshed every three hours. Out and doubtful players are treated as unavailable; questionable players usually play. Only the quarterback feeds Elo directly; the rest is in the market's number.
| Team | Player | Pos | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | Daron Payne | DT | Out | Foot · out |
| WSH | Javon Kinlaw | DT | Out | Knee · out |
| WSH | Jeremy McNichols | RB | Doubtful | Foot · McNichols is getting additional opinions on the foot injury that he suffered Sunday against the Eagles, but there's an expectation that he'll miss multiple months, Tashan Reed of The Washington Post reports. |
| ARI | Jon Gaines II | G | Out | Ankle · out |
| ARI | Kendrick Bourne | WR | Out | Lower Leg · Bourne suffered a fractured right tibia during Sunday's overtime win at Dallas that won't require surgery but will sideline him for three months, ending his 2026 season, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports. |
| ARI | Walter Nolen III | DT | Out | Ankle · out |
| ARI | Bam Knight | RB | Questionable | Concussion · Head coach Mike LaFleur revealed Monday that Knight is in the concussion protocol following Sunday's overtime win in Dallas, Josh Weinfuss of ESPN.com reports. |
| ARI | Jayden Williams | OT | Questionable | Knee · Williams (knee) has been ruled out for the rest of Sunday's game against the Cowboys, Darren Urban of the Cardinals' official site reports. |
| ARI | Jeremiyah Love | RB | Questionable | Ankle · Head coach Mike LaFleur said Monday that Love suffered a "new" ankle injury during Sunday's overtime win at Dallas, and that he'll have an update on the running back later this week, Josh Weinfuss of ESPN.com reports. |
| ARI | Michael Wilson | WR | Questionable | Ribs · Wilson said after Sunday's 33-30 win at Dallas that he suffered two broken ribs during the contest, Josh Weinfuss of ESPN.com reports. |
On the Wire
Chicago Bears rose to 1639; Seattle Seahawks fell to 1608. Read more →
Since Saturday: Jaguars at Ravens, 38 points toward JAX, now 21% for the home side (Elo 40%); Giants at Eagles, 6 points toward NYG, now 40% for the home side (Elo 47%); Lions at Dolphins, 6 points toward MIA, now 26% for the home side (Elo 41%); Rams at Commanders, 4 points toward LAR, now 30% for the home side (Elo 40%). Read more →
Since 2026-10-13: Chicago Bears now 75% to make the playoffs; Atlanta Falcons 16%. From 3,000 simulated seasons. Read more →
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.