Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Baltimore Ravens
Game data updated 4 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 14, 2026 · Sunday, Dec 13, 6:00 PM · outdoors
Tampa Bay Buccaneers0–1 · Elo 1466 · Baker Mayfield
Baltimore Ravens
1–0 · Elo 1559 · Lamar Jackson (+13) · off a bye · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | BAL | TB | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | BAL 74% | 74% | 26% | BAL 1559 vs TB 1466, implied spread BAL −7.1 |
| Closing spread | BAL 67% | 67% | 33% | BAL -6 |
| The blend | BAL 69% | 69% | 31% |
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The spot: Clear favorite, mild disagreement
Both favor the same team by 60% or more, but they differ by 4 to 10 points. Replays: favorites won about as often as the average of the two forecasts said (no surplus either way). The blend without a bump. Nothing to exploit; take the average.
Baltimore Ravens over the Buccaneers: Elo 74%, market 67%. Clear favorite, take the average. BAL off a bye.
Details
- Rest: BAL 14 days, TB 7 days. BAL off a bye (+25 Elo).
- Quarterback adjustment: BAL +13 (Lamar Jackson), TB 0 (Baker Mayfield). How that works.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Sunday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.