Lions at Dolphins: 87°F heat at kickoff Sunday 1 PM ET. Cardinals at Seahawks: 15 mph wind at kickoff Sunday 4 PM ET. In wind of 15+ mph, favorites have won 62% against a 65% forecast over 27 seasons; The System shrinks toward 50. In heat above 75°F favorites underperform slightly; The System shrinks a tenth. Read more →
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New York Jets at Arizona Cardinals
Game data updated just now · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 15, 2026 · State Farm Stadium · Sunday, Dec 20, 4:05 PM ET · closed
New York Jets2–6 · Elo 1380 · Geno Smith (+22 Elo)
Arizona Cardinals
3–5 · Elo 1439 · Gardner Minshew II (−87 Elo) · off a bye · Home
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NYJARI
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What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | ARI | NYJ | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | ARI 53% | 53% | 47% | ARI 1439 vs NYJ 1380, implied spread ARI −0.9 |
| The blend | ARI 53% | 53% | 47% |
The System's number and our picks of the week are for signed-in players. Sign in to see them.
The spot: Everything else
Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.
No market line yet.
Details
- Rest: ARI 14 days, NYJ 7 days. ARI off a bye (+25 Elo).
- Quarterbacks. ARI: Gardner Minshew II (-87 Elo). NYJ: Geno Smith (+22 Elo). Expected starters from ESPN's depth chart with the injury report applied, refreshed every three hours.
- Weather. Indoors (roof closed), so no weather adjustment.
Injury report
ESPN's report, refreshed every three hours. Out and doubtful players are treated as unavailable; questionable players usually play. Only the quarterback feeds Elo directly; the rest is in the market's number.
| Team | Player | Pos | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYJ | Breece Hall | RB | Out | Quadriceps · Hall (quadriceps) is considered "good to go" and is expected to return to action in next Sunday's game against the Chiefs, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports. |
| NYJ | David Bailey | LB | Out | Groin · out |
| NYJ | Joseph Ossai | DE | Out | Ankle · out |
| NYJ | Max Mitchell | OT | Out | Concussion · out |
| ARI | Jon Gaines II | G | Out | Ankle · out |
| ARI | Kendrick Bourne | WR | Out | Lower Leg · Bourne suffered a fractured right tibia during Sunday's overtime win at Dallas that won't require surgery but will sideline him for three months, ending his 2026 season, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports. |
| ARI | Walter Nolen III | DT | Out | Ankle · out |
| ARI | Bam Knight | RB | Questionable | Concussion · Head coach Mike LaFleur revealed Monday that Knight is in the concussion protocol following Sunday's overtime win in Dallas, Josh Weinfuss of ESPN.com reports. |
| ARI | Jayden Williams | OT | Questionable | Knee · Williams (knee) has been ruled out for the rest of Sunday's game against the Cowboys, Darren Urban of the Cardinals' official site reports. |
| ARI | Jeremiyah Love | RB | Questionable | Ankle · Head coach Mike LaFleur said Monday that Love suffered a "new" ankle injury during Sunday's overtime win at Dallas, and that he'll have an update on the running back later this week, Josh Weinfuss of ESPN.com reports. |
| ARI | Michael Wilson | WR | Questionable | Ribs · Wilson said after Sunday's 33-30 win at Dallas that he suffered two broken ribs during the contest, Josh Weinfuss of ESPN.com reports. |
On the Wire
Tampa Bay Buccaneers rose to 1523; Atlanta Falcons fell to 1457. Read more →
Since 2026-10-13: Chicago Bears now 75% to make the playoffs; Atlanta Falcons 16%. From 3,000 simulated seasons. Read more →
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.