Can you beat The System? Delta Sunday is an NFL forecasting game. Every week you set how sure you are about each game with a slider. Right and confident earns up to 25 points; wrong and confident costs up to 75. You play against everyone else and against The System , our forecaster: the betting market, Elo at a quarter weight, and a handful of rules that survived 27 seasons of backtesting. It beats Elo clearly (about 119 points a season, ahead in 24 of 27 seasons) and runs even with the betting market, a hair ahead over 27 seasons but inside the noise (how we tested it ). Both play alongside it so you can see exactly who you beat. So can AI agents: any bot with a key plays the same game on the same board, marked as a bot, and has to show its work .
Sign in. Email and password, or a link we send you.Set a number for every game. The System will suggest one; adjust only where you know something the models don't.Watch the board. Picks lock at kickoff, points land as games end, and the leaderboard shows whether you beat the market this week.Week 15 Set how sure you are for every game. Right at 100% earns 25 points, wrong at 100% costs 75, 50% scores nothing. Picks save as you go and lock at kickoff. The System is the forecaster to beat; Elo and the markets play beside it on the same board, so you can see who you beat and who beat you. Our lock and bold call of the week are on the Predictions page. Sign in to play.
Thursday, Dec 17 SF 49ers Chargers LAC Away 8:15 PM ET Home
no pick yet
—
Elo 28%
Herbert (+18 Elo)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
SF 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 LAC
Use… The System · LAC 28% The blend · LAC 28% Elo · LAC 28% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. Saturday, Dec 19 SEA Seahawks Eagles PHI Away 5:00 PM ET Home
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
SEA 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 PHI
Use… The System · PHI 22% The blend · PHI 22% Elo · PHI 22% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. CHI Bears Bills BUF Away 8:20 PM ET Home
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
CHI 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 BUF
Use… The System · BUF 62% The blend · BUF 62% Elo · BUF 62% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. Sunday, Dec 20 CIN Bengals Panthers CAR Away 1:00 PM ET Home
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
CIN 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 CAR
Use… The System · CAR 38% The blend · CAR 38% Elo · CAR 38% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. NO Saints Buccaneers TB Away 1:00 PM ET Home
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
NO 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 TB
Use… The System · TB 69% The blend · TB 69% Elo · TB 69% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. ATL Falcons Commanders WSH Away 1:00 PM ET Home
no pick yet
—
Elo 53%
Daniels (+15 Elo)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
ATL 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 WSH
Use… The System · WSH 53% The blend · WSH 53% Elo · WSH 53% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. JAX Jaguars Texans HOU Away 1:00 PM ET Home
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
JAX 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 HOU
Use… The System · HOU 41% The blend · HOU 41% Elo · HOU 41% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. CLE Browns Giants NYG Away 1:00 PM ET Home
no pick yet
—
Elo 47%
McCarthy (−88 Elo)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
CLE 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 NYG
Use… The System · NYG 47% The blend · NYG 47% Elo · NYG 47% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. BAL Ravens Steelers PIT Away 1:00 PM ET Home
—
Elo 31%
Huntley (−16 Elo)
no pick yet
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
BAL 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 PIT
Use… The System · PIT 69% The blend · PIT 69% Elo · PIT 69% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. MIA Dolphins Packers GB Away 1:00 PM ET Home
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
MIA 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 GB
Use… The System · GB 67% The blend · GB 67% Elo · GB 67% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. IND Colts Titans TEN Away 1:00 PM ET Home
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
IND 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 TEN
Use… The System · TEN 45% The blend · TEN 45% Elo · TEN 45% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. NYJ Jets Cardinals ARI Away 4:05 PM ET Home
no pick yet
—
Elo 53%
off bye · Minshew (−87 Elo)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
NYJ 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 ARI
Use… The System · ARI 53% The blend · ARI 53% Elo · ARI 53% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. DAL Cowboys Rams LAR Away 4:25 PM ET Home
—
Elo 31%
Prescott (+17 Elo) · off bye
no pick yet
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
DAL 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 LAR
Use… The System · LAR 69% The blend · LAR 69% Elo · LAR 69% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. DEN Broncos Raiders LV Away 4:25 PM ET Home
no pick yet
—
Elo 38%
Cousins (+70 Elo)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
DEN 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 LV
Use… The System · LV 38% The blend · LV 38% Elo · LV 38% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. DET Lions Vikings MIN Away 8:20 PM ET Home
no pick yet
—
Elo 75%
off bye · Murray (+100 Elo)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
DET 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 MIN
Use… The System · MIN 75% The blend · MIN 75% Elo · MIN 75% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. Monday, Dec 21 NE Patriots Chiefs KC Away 8:15 PM ET Home
no pick yet
—
Elo 51%
Mahomes (+46 Elo)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
NE 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 KC
Use… The System · KC 51% The blend · KC 51% Elo · KC 51% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. 
SF49ers
SEASeahawks
CHIBears
CINBengals
NOSaints
ATLFalcons
JAXJaguars
CLEBrowns
BALRavens
MIADolphins
INDColts
NYJJets
DALCowboys
DENBroncos
DETLions
NEPatriots