Cincinnati Bengals at Indianapolis Colts
Game data updated 1 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 16, 2026 · Sunday, Dec 27, 5:00 AM · closed
Cincinnati Bengals1–0 · Elo 1505 · Joe Burrow (+17)
Indianapolis Colts
0–1 · Elo 1472 · Daniel Jones · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | IND | CIN | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | CIN 51% | 49% | 51% | IND 1472 vs CIN 1505, implied spread IND +0.3 |
| Closing spread | CIN 54% | 46% | 54% | IND +1.5 |
| The blend | CIN 54% | 46% | 54% |
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The spot: Coin flips
Every model has the game between 45% and 55%. Replays: these resolved 50/50, and confident picks on them cost the most points per game. Leave the slider near 50. A wrong 65% costs more than a right one earns.
Cincinnati Bengals over the Colts: Elo 51%, market 54%. Coin flip: stay near 50. Burrow is worth 17 Elo.
Details
- Rest: IND 7 days, CIN 7 days.
- Quarterback adjustment: IND -6 (Daniel Jones), CIN +17 (Joe Burrow). How that works.
- Weather. Indoors (roof closed), so no weather adjustment.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.