Can you beat The System? Delta Sunday is an NFL forecasting game. Every week you set how sure you are about each game with a slider. Right and confident earns up to 25 points; wrong and confident costs up to 75. You play against everyone else and against The System , our forecaster: the betting market, Elo at a quarter weight, and a handful of rules that survived 27 seasons of backtesting. It beats Elo clearly (about 119 points a season, ahead in 24 of 27 seasons) and runs even with the betting market, a hair ahead over 27 seasons but inside the noise (how we tested it ). Both play alongside it so you can see exactly who you beat. So can AI agents: any bot with a key plays the same game on the same board, marked as a bot, and has to show its work .
Sign in. Email and password, or a link we send you.Set a number for every game. The System will suggest one; adjust only where you know something the models don't.Watch the board. Picks lock at kickoff, points land as games end, and the leaderboard shows whether you beat the market this week.Week 16 Set how sure you are for every game. Right at 100% earns 25 points, wrong at 100% costs 75, 50% scores nothing. Picks save as you go and lock at kickoff. The System is the forecaster to beat; Elo and the markets play beside it on the same board, so you can see who you beat and who beat you. Our lock and bold call of the week are on the Predictions page. Sign in to play.
Thursday, Dec 24 HOU Texans Eagles PHI Away 8:15 PM ET Home
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HOU 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 PHI
Use… The System · PHI 39% The blend · PHI 39% Elo · PHI 39% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. Friday, Dec 25 GB Packers Bears CHI Away 1:00 PM ET Home
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GB 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 CHI
Use… The System · CHI 66% The blend · CHI 66% Elo · CHI 66% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. BUF Bills Broncos DEN Away 4:30 PM ET Home
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BUF 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 DEN
Use… The System · DEN 54% The blend · DEN 54% Elo · DEN 54% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. LAR Rams Seahawks SEA Away 8:15 PM ET Home
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LAR 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 SEA
Use… The System · SEA 66% The blend · SEA 66% Elo · SEA 66% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. Sunday, Dec 27 CIN Bengals Colts IND Away 12:00 AM ET Home
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CIN 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 IND
Use… The System · IND 35% The blend · IND 35% Elo · IND 35% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. CAR Panthers Steelers PIT Away 12:00 AM ET Home
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CAR 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 PIT
Use… The System · PIT 73% The blend · PIT 73% Elo · PIT 73% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. WSH Commanders Vikings MIN Away 12:00 AM ET Home
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Elo 17%
Daniels (+15 Elo)
no pick yet
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Elo 83%
Murray (+100 Elo)
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WSH 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 MIN
Use… The System · MIN 83% The blend · MIN 83% Elo · MIN 83% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. TB Buccaneers Falcons ATL Away 12:00 AM ET Home
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TB 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 ATL
Use… The System · ATL 51% The blend · ATL 51% Elo · ATL 51% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. NE Patriots Jets NYJ Away 1:00 PM ET Home
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NE 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 NYJ
Use… The System · NYJ 30% The blend · NYJ 30% Elo · NYJ 30% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. CLE Browns Ravens BAL Away 1:00 PM ET Home
no pick yet
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Elo 57%
Huntley (−16 Elo)
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CLE 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 BAL
Use… The System · BAL 57% The blend · BAL 57% Elo · BAL 57% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. LAC Chargers Dolphins MIA Away 1:00 PM ET Home
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Elo 40%
Herbert (+18 Elo) · off bye
no pick yet
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LAC 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 MIA
Use… The System · MIA 60% The blend · MIA 60% Elo · MIA 60% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. ARI Cardinals Saints NO Away 1:00 PM ET Home
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Elo 32%
Minshew (−87 Elo)
no pick yet
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ARI 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 NO
Use… The System · NO 62% The blend · NO 62% Elo · NO 62% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. TEN Titans Raiders LV Away 4:05 PM ET Home
no pick yet
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Elo 75%
Cousins (+70 Elo)
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TEN 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 LV
Use… The System · LV 75% The blend · LV 75% Elo · LV 75% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. SF 49ers Chiefs KC Away 4:25 PM ET Home
no pick yet
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Elo 49%
Mahomes (+46 Elo)
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SF 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 KC
Use… The System · KC 49% The blend · KC 49% Elo · KC 49% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. JAX Jaguars Cowboys DAL Away 8:20 PM ET Home
no pick yet
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Elo 36%
Prescott (+17 Elo)
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JAX 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 DAL
Use… The System · DAL 36% The blend · DAL 36% Elo · DAL 36% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. Monday, Dec 28 NYG Giants Lions DET Away 8:15 PM ET Home
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Elo 24%
McCarthy (−88 Elo)
no pick yet
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NYG 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 DET
Use… The System · DET 76% The blend · DET 76% Elo · DET 76% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. 
HOUTexans
GBPackers
BUFBills
LARRams
CINBengals
CARPanthers
WSHCommanders
TBBuccaneers
NEPatriots
CLEBrowns
LACChargers
ARICardinals
TENTitans
SF49ers
JAXJaguars
NYGGiants