Jaguars at Ravens $211k, Raiders at 49ers $59k, Packers at Patriots $35k traded on Kalshi and Polymarket. The exchanges and the books agree within four points everywhere. Read more →
← Back to Week 16 picks · Back to Week 16 predictions
New England Patriots at New York Jets
Game data updated just now · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 16, 2026 · MetLife Stadium · Sunday, Dec 27, 1:00 PM ET · outdoors
New England Patriots5–3 · Elo 1599 · Drake Maye
New York Jets
2–6 · Elo 1380 · Geno Smith (+22 Elo) · Home
Make your pick
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
NENYJ
Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | NYJ | NE | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | NE 70% | 30% | 70% | NYJ 1380 vs NE 1599, implied spread NYJ +6.0 |
| The blend | NE 70% | 30% | 70% |
The System's number and our picks of the week are for signed-in players. Sign in to see them.
The spot: Everything else
Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.
No market line yet.
Details
- Rest: NYJ 7 days, NE 6 days.
- Quarterbacks. NYJ: Geno Smith (+22 Elo). NE: Drake Maye (+1 Elo). Expected starters from ESPN's depth chart with the injury report applied, refreshed every three hours.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Sunday.
Injury report
ESPN's report, refreshed every three hours. Out and doubtful players are treated as unavailable; questionable players usually play. Only the quarterback feeds Elo directly; the rest is in the market's number.
| Team | Player | Pos | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NE | A.J. Brown | WR | Out | Ankle · When asked whether Brown (ankle/knee) might practice at some point this week, coach Mike Vrabel said Monday "We'll see," Doug Kyed of the Boston Herald reports. |
| NE | TreVeyon Henderson | RB | Out | Illness · out |
| NE | Gabe Jacas | LB | Questionable | Knee · Jacas (knee) is questionable to return to Sunday's contest against Miami, Doug Kyed of the Boston Herald reports. |
| NE | Hunter Henry | TE | Questionable | Foot · Henry (foot) has been ruled out for the rest of Sunday's game in Miami. |
| NYJ | Breece Hall | RB | Out | Quadriceps · Hall (quadriceps) is considered "good to go" and is expected to return to action in next Sunday's game against the Chiefs, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports. |
| NYJ | David Bailey | LB | Out | Groin · out |
| NYJ | Joseph Ossai | DE | Out | Ankle · out |
| NYJ | Max Mitchell | OT | Out | Concussion · out |
On the Wire
Jaguars at Ravens: Ravens on 4 days' rest; Jaguars on 4 days' rest. Browns at Saints: Saints off a bye. Giants at Eagles: Giants off a bye. Broncos at Panthers: Panthers off a bye. Texans at Chargers: Texans off a bye. Raiders at 49ers: 49ers off a bye. Packers at Patriots: Packers off a bye. Read more →
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.