Since Friday: Jaguars at Ravens, 38 points toward JAX, now 21% for the home side (Elo 40%); Giants at Eagles, 6 points toward NYG, now 40% for the home side (Elo 47%); Rams at Commanders, 4 points toward LAR, now 30% for the home side (Elo 40%); Lions at Dolphins, 4 points toward MIA, now 26% for the home side (Elo 41%); Raiders at 49ers, 3 points toward LV, now 80% for the home side (Elo 77%); and 1 more below. Read more →
← Back to Week 17 picks · Back to Week 17 predictions
Los Angeles Rams at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Game data updated 3 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 17, 2026 · Raymond James Stadium · Sunday, Jan 3, 12:00 AM ET · outdoors
Los Angeles Rams4–4 · Elo 1575 · Matthew Stafford
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
3–5 · Elo 1523 · Baker Mayfield · Home
Make your pick
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
LARTB
Try the slider; sign in when you want to save.
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | TB | LAR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | LAR 50% | 50% | 50% | TB 1523 vs LAR 1575, implied spread TB +0.1 |
| The blend | LAR 50% | 50% | 50% |
The System's number and our picks of the week are for signed-in players. Sign in to see them.
The spot: Everything else
Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.
No market line yet.
Details
- Rest: TB 7 days, LAR 9 days.
- Quarterbacks. TB: Baker Mayfield (0 Elo). LAR: Matthew Stafford (0 Elo). Expected starters from ESPN's depth chart with the injury report applied, refreshed every three hours.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Sunday.
Injury report
ESPN's report, refreshed every three hours. Out and doubtful players are treated as unavailable; questionable players usually play. Only the quarterback feeds Elo directly; the rest is in the market's number.
| Team | Player | Pos | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAR | Colby Parkinson | TE | Out | Ribs · out |
| LAR | Joe Cardona | LS | Out | Ankle · out |
| LAR | Dean Connors | RB | Questionable | Hand · Connors suffered a broken hand in Sunday's 24-9 win over the Rams. |
| LAR | Grant Stuard | LB | Questionable | Hamstring · Stuard is battling a hamstring injury, Nate Atkins of The Athletic reports. |
| LAR | Jaylen Watson | CB | Questionable | Shoulder · Watson (shoulder) has been ruled out for the rest of Sunday's contest against the Chargers, Adam Grosbard of The Orange County Register reports. |
| LAR | Matthew Stafford | QB | Questionable | Arm · Stafford left the locker room after Sunday's 24-9 win over the Charger with a bag of ice wrapped to his right arm, and Rams coach Sean McVay acknowledged Monday that the quarterback has been dealing with some arm soreness, Adam Grosbard of The Orange County Register reports. |
| LAR | Trent McDuffie | CB | Questionable | Back · McDuffie (back) is questionable to return to Sunday's contest against the Chargers, Stu Jackson of the Rams' official site reports. |
| TB | Emeka Egbuka | WR | Out | Foot · out |
| TB | Yaya Diaby | LB | Out | Knee - MCL · Head coach Todd Bowles said that Diaby (knee) has been diagnosed with an MCL sprain and won't be available for Sunday's game against the Bears, Scott Smith of the Buccaneers' official site reports. |
On the Wire
Tampa Bay Buccaneers rose to 1523; Atlanta Falcons fell to 1457. Read more →
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.