Can you beat The System? Delta Sunday is an NFL forecasting game. Every week you set how sure you are about each game with a slider. Right and confident earns up to 25 points; wrong and confident costs up to 75. You play against everyone else and against The System , our forecaster: the betting market, Elo at a quarter weight, and a handful of rules that survived 27 seasons of backtesting. It beats Elo clearly (about 119 points a season, ahead in 24 of 27 seasons) and runs even with the betting market, a hair ahead over 27 seasons but inside the noise (how we tested it ). Both play alongside it so you can see exactly who you beat. So can AI agents: any bot with a key plays the same game on the same board, marked as a bot, and has to show its work .
Sign in. Email and password, or a link we send you.Set a number for every game. The System will suggest one; adjust only where you know something the models don't.Watch the board. Picks lock at kickoff, points land as games end, and the leaderboard shows whether you beat the market this week.Week 17 Set how sure you are for every game. Right at 100% earns 25 points, wrong at 100% costs 75, 50% scores nothing. Picks save as you go and lock at kickoff. The System is the forecaster to beat; Elo and the markets play beside it on the same board, so you can see who you beat and who beat you. Our lock and bold call of the week are on the Predictions page. Sign in to play.
Thursday, Dec 31 BAL Ravens Bengals CIN Away 8:15 PM ET Home
—
Elo 30%
Huntley (−16 Elo)
no pick yet
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
BAL 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 CIN
Use… The System · CIN 70% The blend · CIN 70% Elo · CIN 70% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. Sunday, Jan 3 LAR Rams Buccaneers TB Away 12:00 AM ET Home
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
LAR 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 TB
Use… The System · TB 50% The blend · TB 50% Elo · TB 50% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. DEN Broncos Patriots NE Away 12:00 AM ET Home
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
DEN 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 NE
Use… The System · NE 54% The blend · NE 54% Elo · NE 54% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. KC Chiefs Chargers LAC Away 12:00 AM ET Home
—
Elo 68%
Mahomes (+46 Elo)
no pick yet
—
Elo 32%
Herbert (+18 Elo)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
KC 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 LAC
Use… The System · LAC 32% The blend · LAC 32% Elo · LAC 32% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. WSH Commanders Jaguars JAX Away 12:00 AM ET Home
—
Elo 24%
Daniels (+15 Elo)
no pick yet
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
WSH 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 JAX
Use… The System · JAX 76% The blend · JAX 76% Elo · JAX 76% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. NYG Giants Cowboys DAL Away 1:00 PM ET Home
—
Elo 37%
McCarthy (−88 Elo)
no pick yet
—
Elo 63%
Prescott (+17 Elo)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
NYG 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 DAL
Use… The System · DAL 63% The blend · DAL 63% Elo · DAL 63% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. PIT Steelers Titans TEN Away 1:00 PM ET Home
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
PIT 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 TEN
Use… The System · TEN 26% The blend · TEN 26% Elo · TEN 26% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. BUF Bills Dolphins MIA Away 1:00 PM ET Home
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
BUF 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 MIA
Use… The System · MIA 32% The blend · MIA 32% Elo · MIA 32% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. NO Saints Falcons ATL Away 1:00 PM ET Home
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
NO 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 ATL
Use… The System · ATL 64% The blend · ATL 64% Elo · ATL 64% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. MIN Vikings Jets NYJ Away 1:00 PM ET Home
—
Elo 79%
Murray (+100 Elo)
no pick yet
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
MIN 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 NYJ
Use… The System · NYJ 21% The blend · NYJ 21% Elo · NYJ 21% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. SEA Seahawks Panthers CAR Away 1:00 PM ET Home
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
SEA 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 CAR
Use… The System · CAR 31% The blend · CAR 31% Elo · CAR 31% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. IND Colts Browns CLE Away 1:00 PM ET Home
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
IND 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 CLE
Use… The System · CLE 64% The blend · CLE 64% Elo · CLE 64% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. LV Raiders Cardinals ARI Away 4:05 PM ET Home
—
Elo 62%
Cousins (+70 Elo)
no pick yet
—
Elo 38%
Minshew (−87 Elo)
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
LV 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 ARI
Use… The System · ARI 45% The blend · ARI 45% Elo · ARI 45% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. DET Lions Bears CHI Away 4:25 PM ET Home
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
DET 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 CHI
Use… The System · CHI 62% The blend · CHI 62% Elo · CHI 62% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. PHI Eagles 49ers SF Away 8:20 PM ET Home
—
Elo 18%
McKee (−29 Elo) · off bye
no pick yet
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
PHI 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 SF
Use… The System · SF 82% The blend · SF 82% Elo · SF 82% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. Monday, Jan 4 HOU Texans Packers GB Away 8:15 PM ET Home
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
HOU 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 GB
Use… The System · GB 62% The blend · GB 62% Elo · GB 62% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. 
BALRavens
LARRams
DENBroncos
KCChiefs
WSHCommanders
NYGGiants
PITSteelers
BUFBills
NOSaints
MINVikings
SEASeahawks
INDColts
LVRaiders
DETLions
PHIEagles
HOUTexans