Dallas Cowboys at Washington Commanders
Game data updated 3 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 18, 2026 · Sunday, Jan 10, 5:00 AM · outdoors
Dallas Cowboys0–1 · Elo 1449 · Dak Prescott (+17)
Washington Commanders
0–1 · Elo 1467 · Jayden Daniels (+15) · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | WSH | DAL | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | WSH 52% | 52% | 48% | WSH 1467 vs DAL 1449, implied spread WSH −2.6 |
| Closing spread | DAL 54% | 46% | 54% | WSH +1.5 |
| The blend | DAL 53% | 47% | 53% |
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The spot: Coin flips
Every model has the game between 45% and 55%. Replays: these resolved 50/50, and confident picks on them cost the most points per game. Leave the slider near 50. A wrong 65% costs more than a right one earns.
Dallas Cowboys over the Commanders: Elo 48%, market 54%. Coin flip: stay near 50. Prescott is worth 17 Elo.
Details
- Rest: WSH 7 days, DAL 7 days.
- Quarterback adjustment: WSH +15 (Jayden Daniels), DAL +17 (Dak Prescott). How that works.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Sunday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.