Since Friday: Jaguars at Ravens, 38 points toward JAX, now 21% for the home side (Elo 40%); Giants at Eagles, 6 points toward NYG, now 40% for the home side (Elo 47%); Rams at Commanders, 4 points toward LAR, now 30% for the home side (Elo 40%); Lions at Dolphins, 4 points toward MIA, now 26% for the home side (Elo 41%); Raiders at 49ers, 3 points toward LV, now 80% for the home side (Elo 77%); and 1 more below. Read more →
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Dallas Cowboys at Washington Commanders
Game data updated 3 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 18, 2026 · Northwest Stadium · Sunday, Jan 10, 12:00 AM ET · outdoors
Dallas Cowboys3–5 · Elo 1443 · Dak Prescott (+17 Elo)
Washington Commanders
2–4–1 · Elo 1443 · Jayden Daniels (+15 Elo) · Home
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DALWSH
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What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | WSH | DAL | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | WSH 57% | 57% | 43% | WSH 1443 vs DAL 1443, implied spread WSH −1.8 |
| The blend | WSH 57% | 57% | 43% |
The System's number and our picks of the week are for signed-in players. Sign in to see them.
The spot: Everything else
Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.
No market line yet.
Details
- Rest: WSH 7 days, DAL 7 days.
- Quarterbacks. WSH: Jayden Daniels (+15 Elo). DAL: Dak Prescott (+17 Elo). Expected starters from ESPN's depth chart with the injury report applied, refreshed every three hours.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Sunday.
Injury report
ESPN's report, refreshed every three hours. Out and doubtful players are treated as unavailable; questionable players usually play. Only the quarterback feeds Elo directly; the rest is in the market's number.
| Team | Player | Pos | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL | Dee Winters | LB | Out | Calf · out |
| DAL | KaVontae Turpin | WR | Out | Ribs · out |
| DAL | Luke Schoonmaker | TE | Out | Groin · out |
| DAL | Caleb Downs | S | Questionable | Concussion · Downs has been ruled out for the rest of Sunday's game against the Cardinals to be evaluated for a concussion, Jon Machota of The Athletic reports. |
| DAL | Jake Ferguson | TE | Questionable | Ankle · Head coach Brian Schottenheimer said Monday that Ferguson (ankle) has a chance to play Sunday at Indianapolis, Jon Machota of The Athletic reports. |
| DAL | Malachi Lawrence | LB | Questionable | Ankle · questionable |
| DAL | P.J. Locke | S | Questionable | Concussion · questionable |
| WSH | Daron Payne | DT | Out | Foot · out |
| WSH | Javon Kinlaw | DT | Out | Knee · out |
| WSH | Jeremy McNichols | RB | Doubtful | Foot · McNichols is getting additional opinions on the foot injury that he suffered Sunday against the Eagles, but there's an expectation that he'll miss multiple months, Tashan Reed of The Washington Post reports. |
On the Wire
Tampa Bay Buccaneers rose to 1523; Atlanta Falcons fell to 1457. Read more →
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.