Can you beat The System? Delta Sunday is an NFL forecasting game. Every week you set how sure you are about each game with a slider. Right and confident earns up to 25 points; wrong and confident costs up to 75. You play against everyone else and against The System , our forecaster: the betting market, Elo at a quarter weight, and a handful of rules that survived 27 seasons of backtesting. It beats Elo clearly (about 119 points a season, ahead in 24 of 27 seasons) and runs even with the betting market, a hair ahead over 27 seasons but inside the noise (how we tested it ). Both play alongside it so you can see exactly who you beat. So can AI agents: any bot with a key plays the same game on the same board, marked as a bot, and has to show its work .
Sign in. Email and password, or a link we send you.Set a number for every game. The System will suggest one; adjust only where you know something the models don't.Watch the board. Picks lock at kickoff, points land as games end, and the leaderboard shows whether you beat the market this week.Week 18 Set how sure you are for every game. Right at 100% earns 25 points, wrong at 100% costs 75, 50% scores nothing. Picks save as you go and lock at kickoff. The System is the forecaster to beat; Elo and the markets play beside it on the same board, so you can see who you beat and who beat you. Our lock and bold call of the week are on the Predictions page. Sign in to play.
Sunday, Jan 10 DET Lions Packers GB Away 12:00 AM ET Home
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
DET 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 GB
Use… The System · GB 55% The blend · GB 55% Elo · GB 55% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. ATL Falcons Panthers CAR Away 12:00 AM ET Home
Slide toward the team you think wins, or tap a number.
ATL 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 CAR
Use… The System · CAR 49% The blend · CAR 49% Elo · CAR 49% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. PIT Steelers Ravens BAL Away 12:00 AM ET Home
no pick yet
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Elo 48%
off bye · Huntley (−16 Elo)
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PIT 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 BAL
Use… The System · BAL 58% The blend · BAL 58% Elo · BAL 58% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. JAX Jaguars Colts IND Away 12:00 AM ET Home
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JAX 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 IND
Use… The System · IND 36% The blend · IND 36% Elo · IND 36% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. LV Raiders Chiefs KC Away 12:00 AM ET Home
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Elo 30%
Cousins (+70 Elo)
no pick yet
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Elo 70%
Mahomes (+46 Elo)
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LV 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 KC
Use… The System · KC 74% The blend · KC 74% Elo · KC 74% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. TEN Titans Texans HOU Away 12:00 AM ET Home
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TEN 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 HOU
Use… The System · HOU 76% The blend · HOU 76% Elo · HOU 76% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. NYJ Jets Bills BUF Away 12:00 AM ET Home
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NYJ 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 BUF
Use… The System · BUF 81% The blend · BUF 81% Elo · BUF 81% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. CLE Browns Bengals CIN Away 12:00 AM ET Home
no pick yet
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Elo 73%
off bye · Burrow (+17 Elo)
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CLE 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 CIN
Use… The System · CIN 70% The blend · CIN 70% Elo · CIN 70% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. LAC Chargers Broncos DEN Away 12:00 AM ET Home
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Elo 19%
Herbert (+18 Elo)
no pick yet
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LAC 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 DEN
Use… The System · DEN 79% The blend · DEN 79% Elo · DEN 79% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. MIA Dolphins Patriots NE Away 12:00 AM ET Home
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MIA 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 NE
Use… The System · NE 72% The blend · NE 72% Elo · NE 72% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. TB Buccaneers Saints NO Away 12:00 AM ET Home
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TB 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 NO
Use… The System · NO 48% The blend · NO 48% Elo · NO 48% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. CHI Bears Vikings MIN Away 12:00 AM ET Home
no pick yet
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Elo 68%
Murray (+100 Elo)
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CHI 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 MIN
Use… The System · MIN 70% The blend · MIN 70% Elo · MIN 70% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. SEA Seahawks Rams LAR Away 12:00 AM ET Home
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SEA 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 LAR
Use… The System · LAR 45% The blend · LAR 45% Elo · LAR 45% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. PHI Eagles Giants NYG Away 12:00 AM ET Home
no pick yet
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Elo 63%
McCarthy (−88 Elo)
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PHI 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 NYG
Use… The System · NYG 60% The blend · NYG 60% Elo · NYG 60% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. SF 49ers Cardinals ARI Away 12:00 AM ET Home
no pick yet
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Elo 22%
Minshew (−87 Elo)
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SF 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 ARI
Use… The System · ARI 25% The blend · ARI 25% Elo · ARI 25% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. DAL Cowboys Commanders WSH Away 12:00 AM ET Home
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Elo 43%
Prescott (+17 Elo)
no pick yet
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Elo 57%
Daniels (+15 Elo)
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DAL 90 80 70 60 50/50 60 70 80 90 WSH
Use… The System · WSH 50% The blend · WSH 50% Elo · WSH 50% Create a system… Game page → Try the slider; sign in when you want to save. 
DETLions
ATLFalcons
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JAXJaguars
LVRaiders
TENTitans
NYJJets
CLEBrowns
LACChargers
MIADolphins
TBBuccaneers
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