Lions at Dolphins: 87°F heat at kickoff Sunday 1 PM ET. Cardinals at Seahawks: 15 mph wind at kickoff Sunday 4 PM ET. In wind of 15+ mph, favorites have won 62% against a 65% forecast over 27 seasons; The System shrinks toward 50. In heat above 75°F favorites underperform slightly; The System shrinks a tenth. Read more →
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Seattle Seahawks at Los Angeles Rams
Game data updated just now · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 18, 2026 · SoFi Stadium · Sunday, Jan 10, 12:00 AM ET · dome
Seattle Seahawks4–3 · Elo 1643 · Sam Darnold
Los Angeles Rams
4–4 · Elo 1575 · Matthew Stafford · Home
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SEALAR
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What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | LAR | SEA | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | SEA 53% | 47% | 53% | LAR 1575 vs SEA 1643, implied spread LAR +0.7 |
| The blend | SEA 53% | 47% | 53% |
The System's number and our picks of the week are for signed-in players. Sign in to see them.
The spot: Everything else
Moderate favorites where the models roughly agree. No edge found either way in the replays. The blend is as good as anything.
No market line yet.
Details
- Rest: LAR 7 days, SEA 7 days.
- Quarterbacks. LAR: Matthew Stafford (0 Elo). SEA: Sam Darnold (-2 Elo). Expected starters from ESPN's depth chart with the injury report applied, refreshed every three hours.
- Weather. Indoors (dome), so no weather adjustment.
Injury report
ESPN's report, refreshed every three hours. Out and doubtful players are treated as unavailable; questionable players usually play. Only the quarterback feeds Elo directly; the rest is in the market's number.
| Team | Player | Pos | Status | Injury |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | Beau Stephens | G | Out | Coach's Decision · inactive |
| SEA | Brandon Pili | DT | Out | Back · Pili (back) is inactive for Monday night's game against the Bears, John Boyle of the Seahawks' official site reports. |
| SEA | Charles Cross | OT | Out | Ankle · inactive |
| SEA | Drew Lock | QB | Out | Elbow · Lock (coach's decision) is inactive for Monday's matchup with the Bears, John Boyle of the Seahawks' official site reports. |
| SEA | Rashid Shaheed | WR | Out | Knee · inactive |
| SEA | Uchenna Nwosu | LB | Out | Ankle · Nwosu (ankle) is inactive for Monday's clash with the Bears, John Boyle of the Seahawks' official site reports. |
| SEA | Velus Jones Jr. | RB | Out | Hamstring · inactive |
| LAR | Colby Parkinson | TE | Out | Ribs · out |
| LAR | Joe Cardona | LS | Out | Ankle · out |
| LAR | Dean Connors | RB | Questionable | Hand · Connors suffered a broken hand in Sunday's 24-9 win over the Rams. |
| LAR | Grant Stuard | LB | Questionable | Hamstring · Stuard is battling a hamstring injury, Nate Atkins of The Athletic reports. |
| LAR | Jaylen Watson | CB | Questionable | Shoulder · Watson (shoulder) has been ruled out for the rest of Sunday's contest against the Chargers, Adam Grosbard of The Orange County Register reports. |
| LAR | Matthew Stafford | QB | Questionable | Arm · Stafford left the locker room after Sunday's 24-9 win over the Charger with a bag of ice wrapped to his right arm, and Rams coach Sean McVay acknowledged Monday that the quarterback has been dealing with some arm soreness, Adam Grosbard of The Orange County Register reports. |
| LAR | Trent McDuffie | CB | Questionable | Back · McDuffie (back) is questionable to return to Sunday's contest against the Chargers, Stu Jackson of the Rams' official site reports. |
On the Wire
Since Friday: Jaguars at Ravens, 38 points toward JAX, now 21% for the home side (Elo 40%); Giants at Eagles, 6 points toward NYG, now 40% for the home side (Elo 47%); Rams at Commanders, 4 points toward LAR, now 30% for the home side (Elo 40%); Lions at Dolphins, 4 points toward MIA, now 26% for the home side (Elo 41%); Raiders at 49ers, 3 points toward LV, now 80% for the home side (Elo 77%); and 1 more below. Read more →
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.