Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals
Game data updated 26 min ago · markets priced 26 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 2, 2026 · Sunday, Sep 20, 8:25 PM · closed
Seattle Seahawks
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | ARI | SEA | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | SEA 68% | 32% | 68% | ARI 1488 vs SEA 1636, implied spread ARI +5.4 |
| Closing spread | SEA 60% | 40% | 60% | ARI +3.5 |
| Sportsbooks | SEA 65% | 35% | 65% | |
| Kalshi | SEA 66% | 35% | 66% | |
| Polymarket | SEA 66% | 35% | 66% | |
| The blend | SEA 68% | 32% | 68% |
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The spot: Tight agreement
Elo and the market agree on the favorite within 4 points. Over 24 seasons (2,312 games) favorites here won 69.2% against a 67.7% forecast; in 2023–25 it ran hotter, 74% against 66%. Lean a little toward the favorite. The blend adds 2 points.
Seattle Seahawks over the Cardinals: Elo 68%, market 65%. Tight agreement: go above both. Brissett is costing 40 Elo; Lock is costing 30 Elo; SEA off a bye.
Details
- Importance 52 of 100: how far the league's playoff odds swing on this result, from simulation. Quality 53.
- Rest: ARI 7 days, SEA 11 days. SEA off a bye (+25 Elo).
- Quarterback adjustment: ARI -40 (Jacoby Brissett), SEA -30 (Drew Lock). How that works.
- Weather. Indoors (roof closed), so no weather adjustment.
Line movement
Priced since Fri, Sep 18, 4 AM; last change Fri 4:37 AM. No movement in the consensus yet. History records changes only, so a flat line means the price held.
| Market | Opened (ARI) | Now | Move | Changes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 35% | 35% | — | 0 |
| Polymarket | 35% | 35% | — | 0 |
| Sportsbooks | 35% | 35% | — | 0 |