Indianapolis Colts at Washington Commanders
Game data updated 3 min ago · this page re-reads every 10 min while open
Week 4, 2026 · Sunday, Oct 4, 1:30 PM · neutral site · outdoors
Indianapolis Colts0–1 · Elo 1472 · Daniel Jones
Washington Commanders
0–1 · Elo 1467 · Jayden Daniels (+15) · Home
What the forecasters say
| Forecaster | Favors | WSH | IND | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | WSH 52% | 52% | 48% | WSH 1467 vs IND 1472, implied spread WSH −0.6 |
| Closing spread | WSH 54% | 54% | 46% | WSH -1.5 |
| The blend | WSH 54% | 54% | 46% |
The System's number and our picks of the week are for signed-in players. Sign in, it's free.
The spot: Coin flips
Every model has the game between 45% and 55%. Replays: these resolved 50/50, and confident picks on them cost the most points per game. Leave the slider near 50. A wrong 65% costs more than a right one earns.
Washington Commanders over the Colts: Elo 52%, market 54%. Coin flip: stay near 50.
Details
- Rest: WSH 7 days, IND 7 days.
- Quarterback adjustment: WSH +15 (Jayden Daniels), IND -6 (Daniel Jones). How that works.
- Weather. Outdoors. The kickoff forecast is pulled from Open-Meteo once the game is within 7 days, from Sunday.
Line movement
No market has priced this game yet. Kalshi and Polymarket usually list games about a week out; sportsbooks earlier.