Chicago Bears rose to 1639; Seattle Seahawks fell to 1608. Read more →
Atlanta Falcons
Current Elo 1457. Rating after every game since 2000; vertical marks are new starting quarterbacks. Hover for the game.
Playoff odds this season
Now: playoffs 19%, division 18%, title 0%. One point per day the simulation ran.
Playoff probability
On the Wire
Cooper Rush started last time out. Elo's quarterback adjustment for the Falcons is now +28 points on Bengals at Falcons. Read more →
Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Week 8. The Buccaneers won 16 to 0; the game turned on M.Penix pass short right intended for D.London INTERCEPTED by A.Anzalone at ATL 41. A.Anza. Attendance 61,036. Written from the box score, ESPN's in-game win probability, and the site's own numbers. Read more →
Since 2026-10-13: Chicago Bears now 75% to make the playoffs; Atlanta Falcons 16%. From 3,000 simulated seasons. Read more →
Seasons
| Season | Record | End Elo | Peak | Quarterbacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 3–5 | 1457 | 1493 | Cooper Rush, Tua Tagovailoa, Michael Penix Jr. |
| 2025 | 8–9 | 1453 | 1494 | Michael Penix Jr., Kirk Cousins |
| 2024 | 8–9 | 1392 | 1467 | Kirk Cousins, Michael Penix Jr. |
| 2023 | 7–10 | 1407 | 1473 | Desmond Ridder, Taylor Heinicke |
| 2022 | 7–10 | 1441 | 1490 | Marcus Mariota, Desmond Ridder |
| 2021 | 7–10 | 1403 | 1453 | Matt Ryan |
| 2020 | 4–12 | 1474 | 1536 | Matt Ryan |
| 2019 | 7–9 | 1549 | 1549 | Matt Ryan, Matt Schaub |
| 2018 | 7–9 | 1528 | 1603 | Matt Ryan |
| 2017 | 10–6 | 1648 | 1664 | Matt Ryan |
| 2016 | 11–5 | 1673 | 1688 | Matt Ryan |
| 2015 | 8–8 | 1476 | 1563 | Matt Ryan |
| 2014 | 6–10 | 1441 | 1486 | Matt Ryan |
| 2013 | 4–12 | 1436 | 1582 | Matt Ryan |
| 2012 | 13–3 | 1632 | 1678 | Matt Ryan |
| 2011 | 10–6 | 1566 | 1612 | Matt Ryan |
| 2010 | 13–3 | 1620 | 1673 | Matt Ryan |
| 2009 | 9–7 | 1555 | 1595 | Matt Ryan, Chris Redman |
| 2008 | 11–5 | 1539 | 1559 | Matt Ryan |
| 2007 | 4–12 | 1337 | 1423 | Joey Harrington, Byron Leftwich, Chris Redman |
| 2006 | 7–9 | 1420 | 1551 | Michael Vick |
| 2005 | 8–8 | 1487 | 1598 | Michael Vick, Matt Schaub |
| 2004 | 11–5 | 1528 | 1569 | Michael Vick, Matt Schaub |
| 2003 | 5–11 | 1449 | 1553 | Doug Johnson, Kurt Kittner, Michael Vick |
| 2002 | 9–6–1 | 1544 | 1571 | Michael Vick, Doug Johnson |
| 2001 | 7–9 | 1385 | 1455 | Chris Chandler, Michael Vick |
| 2000 | 4–12 | 1354 | 1481 | Chris Chandler, Danny Kanell, Doug Johnson |